Thursday, 18 April 2013

World Championship 2013 Preview

It's that time of the year again. Time for the gripping and tense 17 days at The Crucible for the World Championship. This promises to be one of the best World Championships ever, with there being 10 winners of the 10 ranking events so far this season. Having looked at the first round draw, I think there is the possibility of it being a strong year for the seeds, unlike last year where 8 went out in the first round.

First Round Preview

Ronnie O'Sullivan Vs Marcus Campbell (20th April 10am and 7pm) -

I like everyone else I would suspect, have no idea how Ronnie is going to play. He hasn't played in a ranking event since the last World Championship, but if he turns up he could turn everyone over and walk off with the title. Marcus Campbell will offer him a stern first round test and could well win the match quite easily too. Without seeing Ronnie, but knowing he's being practicing hard and will be fresh for this I have to go for him.
Prediction: Ronnie O'Sullivan

Ali Carter Vs Ben Woollaston (22nd and 23rd April 7pm)- Ali Carter has a good record at The Crucible and has a good season so far, winning the German Masters and reaching the UK semi-finals. He will be a hot favourite against the debutant from Leicester and is a good outside bet for the title after being a losing finalist twice in his 5 previous campaigns. It's hard to know what to expect from Crucible debutants, but I think Ben will adapt well, already having a lot of experience on TV behind him, in a lot of PTC events. However, Ali should have the experience to get through.
Prediction: Ali Carter

Stuart Bingham Vs Sam Baird (24th and 25th April 7pm) - Stuart Bingham hasn't always played his best at The Crucible, but that doesn't mean this year won't be different. He was totally outplayed last year by Hendry in the first round last year, but Bingham has come on a lot more this season. At the Welsh Open he came very close to winning his first title in the UK and could well have a good run here. As for Baird, this is his Crucible debut but I don't see him adapting as well as someone like Woollaston. Baird is short of TV experience and doesn't really have any big results against top players to call upon.
Prediction: Comfortable Bingham win

John Higgins Vs Mark Davis (21st and 22nd April 2.30pm) - John Higgins hasn't had his greatest season ever, but that won't stopping winning a fifth world title. He has the Crucible experience and knows exactly how to win this title. He couldn't have had a much worse draw though, in Mark Davis. Davis is of course the top 16 player that had to go through the qualifiers, because of Ronnie being the top seed. Davis has had his best season yet and made the semi-finals in the UK Championships, beating Higgins in the second round. I still have to fancy Higgins for the job though.
Prediction: Tight win for John Higgins.

Shaun Murphy Vs Martin Gould (20th April 2.30pm and 21st April 7pm) - Shaun Murphy has had a consistent season, but as he said at the end of the China Open, he doesn't want quarter-finals and semi-finals - he wants titles. No ranking wins for 2 years doesn't really do him justice. He's a quality player who had good runs at the UK and Masters as well as the International Championship and China Open making at least the semi-finals in all four. As for Martin Gould, he has had a good year outside of the ranking events, winning the Shoot-out and the Championship League. On his day he's one of the best potters and break builders at the moment, and will be full of confidence. Gouldy has Crucible experience, but isn't a stranger to squandering leads in big games, as he did in the World Championship against Robertson in 2010 and in the UK's to Dott this season. Therefore a Murphy comeback might be how this one is determined.
Prediction: Very close, but Murphy win.

Graeme Dott Vs Peter Ebdon (21st and 22nd April 10am) - This one could be a very lengthy encounter and one where match play will definetly be a factor. These two have experience by the bucket full and this is in fact a repeat of the 2006 World Championship final where Dott was the victor. This year though it is a very different story. Both players have been badly struggling for form and first and second round loses for Dott especially have been no stranger. Ebdon's win against Maflin to qualify was his first of 2013 and he has struggled badly all season and has dropped down the rankings badly as a result. Due to the poor form of both, it's very difficult to tip a winner of this, however I just fancy Dott to win it and put behind him his "worst ever" match at the Crucible from last year.
Prediction: Dott win

Matthew Stevens Vs Marco Fu (23rd April 10am and 24th April 2.30pm) - This one is a repeat of last year's first round match that Stevens won comfortably on his way to a semi-final appearance. Since there fortunes have switched around completely. Stevens had a pretty good run last year and was in good nick, while Fu's form all year had been very patchy and he struggled to get results. This season though Stevens has struggled at times for results and threw in one he would want to forget at The Masters and was recently a first round loser to The Dentist in Beijing. As for Fu he has a good year that has included a quarter-final appearance in the PTC Finals, along with a great run to the German Masters final, where he beat Stevens in the quarters. Fu definetly has the edge on form, but that counts for nothing at The Crucible where Stevens has twice been a runner-up. I just don't fancy that this will be the Welshmen's year.
Prediction: A tight victory for Marco Fu.

Judd Trump Vs Dominic Dale (23rd April 2.30pm and 24th April 10am) - This is another repeat of a first round match from last year, where Trump was the winner and has been on all four occasions that these two have met. However, Dale could have won 3 of those matches at last years World Championships, the UK championship last season and at this years Welsh Open. Dominic has just never been able to get over the line, but every time they meet it appears that Dale is getting closer and was 3-1 up on Trump at the Welsh Open before losing 4-3. He will offer Trump a close match, who struggled himself in the other 2 Triple crown events this year, losing at the first round in the UK and only just avoiding the same fate at The Masters. This should be an intriguing contest but one that will probably go the way of the world No.3.
Prediction: Trump win 10-7.

Neil Robertson Vs Robert Milkins (24th and 25th April 2.30pm) - Neil Robertson is in fantastic form ahead of the World Championship. He won the China Open, was runner-up in the PTC Finals, The Masters and the International Championship this season. Neil also knows exactly what is needed to win the World Championship having done it 3 years ago and he will desperate to repeat that feat this year. Milkins meanwhile will probably be in the top 16 by this time next year, but hasn't played at the Crucible for a number of years. He has what it takes to beat Neil, but his temperament does occasionally let him down. Robertson though, has only lost in the first round twice since his World Championship in 2005, losing in that year and 2011 to Trump as defending champion.
Prediction: Neil Robertson 10-7 or 10-6 win.

Ricky Walden Vs Michael Holt (20th and 21st April 10am) - Ricky Walden has only ever played at the Crucible twice previously losing in the first round on both occasions. He has a reasonable season but couldn't really build on his victory in the Wuxi Classic, the years first ranking event. As for Michael, he hasn't really had his best season. He failed to qualify for the PTC Finals and whiling qualifying for a number of events he has been unlucky not to win more of his first round matches, coming close to beating Ding in Haikou and Maguire in Beijing. He did however, make the quarters of the German Masters and will offer a really test of Waldens ability who, up until now, has failed to produce the goods in UK events.
Prediction: Walden to steal it in a decider.

Mark Williams Vs Michael White (20th April 7pm and 21st April 2.30pm) - Mark Williams has really struggled this season and his best ranking performances this year were a semi-final appearance at the Shanghai and quarter-final appearances in the China Open and the Wuxi Classic. However, this is no time to write off the Welshmen but a series of first round exits this season suggest no reason why he could be World champions this year. Michael White is a real promising talent who really thrashed Andrew Higginson, who is one of the best players in that section of the qualifying draw in my opinion, 10-4 in a similar fashion to Jamie Jones' victory against Ricky Walden a year ago. I think that White has a great chance to cause an upset here and I think the youngster could be up to the job on his Crucible debut.
Prediction: Michael White win 10-8

Stephen Maguire Vs Dechawat Poomjaeng (22nd and 23rd April 2.30pm) - Stephen Maguire was a semi-finalist at the World Championships last year after being a losing finalist at the China Open. This year he arrives in Sheffield to face a Crucible debutant for the second successive year and he was a losing semi-finalist in Beijing, and but for an inspired Neil Robertson performance, i'm sure he would have won the whole thing. With renewed confidence from his Welsh Open win, there's no reason why he couldn't take the biggest title there is. I have to admit to never seeing Dechawat Poomjaeng before, but from what I've read, and from the victories he got in reaching the last 32 here and in the China Open qualifiers he seems like a good talent but I don't think he will be a match for Maguire.
Prediction: Stephen Maguire win 10-6 or better.

Mark Allen Vs Mark King (22ns April 10am and 7pm) - Mark Allen has played well most of the year, but has run into form players in most tournaments by the second round or quarter-final stage. He was unlucky in The Masters where his last shot in the decider was to snooker Neil Robertson. He came across eventual champion Robertson at the China Open, an on fire Barry Hawkins in Germany  and 147 maker Ding Junhui in the PTC Finals. As for Mark King, this has not been his most sparkling year ever, but he did make the last 16 in both the UK Championships, Shanghai Masters and the German Masters. King can be a match for a most players when on form but he has struggled to show that this season and on Allen's form he may struggle to do so again.
Prediction: Comfortable Mark Allen win.

Ding Junhui Vs Alan McManus (23rd and 24th April 10am) - Ding Junhui hasn't had his greatest year ever, and has been quite inconsistent all season. His best runs came in winning the PTC Finals and as a losing semi-finalist in Newport. He had a disappointing defeat to Ryan Day last year having been 9-6 in their first round match, and he lost to Day again in York. His struggles in China continue, with his best in his home country coming in the World Open where he lost in the quarter-finals. He has recently admitted that he does struggle with the pressures of being China's No.1, but has also said he thinks he is ready to win the World Championships. The only reason why he might not this year is that he has landed in the quarter of death with Allen and Selby. Alan McManus will provide a good game for Ding, and has had to beat Tom Ford to get to The Crucible and he got to the Welsh Open quarter-finals so he could well shock Ding. Whether he still has enough to beat a top 16 player over the best of 19 frames is another story, and his best chance would be to frustrate Ding. As long as the Chinamen comes to Sheffield with a good temperament, he could well go far.
Prediction: Ding Junhui win by 10-7 or better.

Barry Hawkins Vs Jack Lisowski (20th April 2.30pm and 21st 7pm) - Barry Hawkins has had a great year, firstly winning his first ever ranking event (the Australian Open) and then breaking into the top 16. This has given him even more confidence than he had last year when he beat the injured Mark Selby in the first round. Hawkins however is the weakest seed in the quarter of death and it is hard to see him getting any further than the second round. He has also landed the toughest draw, the young man Jack Lisowski. Jack has had good wins in the last 2 ranking events. First he beat Selby in the PTC Finals which gave him the confidence to beat Judd Trump and Mark Davis on the way to the China Open quarter-finals. Even though this is his Crucible debut, that won't faze the confident young player who has finally found his feet on TV. Hawkins is going to have to keep it tight in this match and not leave Lisowski anything easy to go at, otherwise he will be in trouble with Lisowski's scoring power.
Prediction: Lisowski to win 10-8.

Mark Selby Vs Matthew Selt (23rd and 24th April 7pm) - Mark Selby is one of the favourites to win at Sheffield over the 17 day marathon. There are several things that point to him as this years World champion, like his great safety play, break building, his ability to grind out matches, his comeback ability and finally his great ability to win matches when he is nowhere near his best. Those last 2 have been a big factor in him winning The Masters and UK Championship this season. We only saw small glimpses of his best in the UK Championship as he came from 3-0 down to beat Ryan Day 6-4 and in beating Neil Robertson from 4-0 down in the round after. The best he played in either of those 2 tournaments was in the first session of the Masters final where I thought he was fantastic. His ability to stay in sessions when he isn't playing well will be key to his success in this Championship. He is probably my pick to win this year. That doesn't really give poor Matt Selt much hope and to be fair he had to play 2 very good and close matches to get through against Thirapongpaiboon and then surviving a Ken Doherty fight back from 9-4 down to 9-9, but Selt played a good decider. I don't think he will be a match for an in form Selby, so Selt will have to play flawlessly to win and that will probably be beyond him on his Crucible debut.
Prediction: Mark Selby win 10-5.

Predicted Final stages line-up

Quarter Finals:
Ali Carter Vs John Higgins - Carter might just edge that as I don't think John is in the form he would need to be to win this year.
Shaun Murphy Vs Judd Trump - This could be a cracking encounter if it were to happen and one that I Murphy might take by the odd frame as his experience could show at the vital time.
Neil Robertson Vs Stephen Maguire - If this one were to happen, and be anything like there China semi-final then will be in for a feast of big breaks, with whoever makes the most going through and that would probably be Robbo.
Mark Selby Vs Ding Junhui - This one would be very tense if it took place as both players would want to go the extra step towards their first World title. They're both great scorers, but I think Selby might just edge the scrappy frames and that'll be all important in the end.

Semi-finals:
Ali Carter Vs Shaun Murphy - This would be very tense, but unfortunately Murphy has a poor record of losing in semi-finals, but he wouldn't underestimate Carter like some people do. Carter wouldn't give Murphy much to go at and that could be key.

Neil Robertson Vs Mark Selby - This would be so hard to call if it happened, never mind now. They've met a lot this season and I believe the wins have been shared 2 apiece in the big matches. The sheer determination of both players and the battling qualities make them hard to split and if I had to pick one name, it would be Selby because of his great comeback ability and record in close, big matches this season.

Predicted Final:

Ali Carter Vs Mark Selby - Both great players on there day, but unfortunately Carter has a already lost in 2 finals and won't want it to be third time unlucky. Selby has looked for me like a picture of a World Champion this season in his all round game and will be desperate to put this on his mantle. Another reason for him to do it this year is for him to complete the Triple Crown in the same season and I have thought since he in mind has been my pick for a while before this.

Tournament Prediction: Mark Selby win.

I have been looking forward to this event for a long time and now that we are within touching distance of it's start, it has the feeling like it will be the best tournament yet. I will be keeping you updated with my views and reviews throughout the 17 days and good luck to everyone involved in the 2013 World Snooker Championships.

Saturday, 13 April 2013

Pressure hits at World Qualifiers

The pressure has been switched on as some real tense matches have taken place in the World Championship Qualifiers. There are 32 players left to battle out over the weekend for the 16 remaining spots at The Crucible.

Final Qualifying Round Preview

Ryan Day Vs Ben Woollaston - Saturday morning (completion in evening)
Ryan Day is going to have a really tough match on his hands as he plays Ben Woollaston for a Last 32 spot. Ryan hasn't had the best season, but he did beat Ding Junhui to get to the Last 16 of the UK Championships, and was a quarter-finalist in this event last year. However, Ben scored a comfortable 10-3 win against Thepchaiya Un-Nooh in the last round, scoring quite heavily and that makes him my pick.
Prediction: Ben Woollaston win, 10-7.

Andrew Higginson Vs Michael White - Saturday morning/evening
This has been a really tough match for me to call. I'm a big fan of Andrew Higginson and often find myself disappointed as he loses big matches from winning positions. Michael White is a talented youngster and beat Zhang Anda comfortably in the last round, making 2 centuries and scoring generally well. He qualified for the UK Championship earlier this season and was unlucky to meet Mark Selby in the first round. Experience could tell here though and I have to go with Higginson
Prediction: 10-8 to Higginson

Ken Doherty Vs Matthew Selt - Saturday afternoon/ Sunday afternoon
At first glance, it's fair to say that there's only one winner: Ken Doherty. He has the experience of the long matches and loves the big matches. Selt though is a good player and played well against Thirapongpaiboon in the last round. He could really give Ken a run for his money here but I still only see one winner.
Prediction: Doherty to win 10-7

Fergal O'Brien Vs Jack Lisowski - Saturday morning/evening
Can Fergal stop the runaway Lisowski train? Probably not. Will he give it a go? Absolutely. O'Brien has experience of these matches, and that is the only thing that could send this match his way. Lisowski is fearless and beat Wattana in the last round, and is scoring for fun and that should be enough for him to qualify.
Prediction: Lisowski to win 10-6 or better

Jamie Cope Vs Dechawat Poomjaeng - Saturday morning/evening
Poor old Jamie Cope is really struggling for form at the moment, and he's on such a poor run that I can't see him winning a match. This for me is a great chance for Dechawat who has already beaten Michael Leslie, Liu Chuang and Anthony Hamilton and is playing quite nicely. I can only see one winner here unfortunately.
Prediction: 10-8 to Poomjaeng

Michael Holt Vs Mark Joyce - Saturday morning/evening
This is an intriguing match, and one that I make Holty a big favourite for. Joyce has played well at times this season, especially against Trump in the UK's. However, Holt has come close to some big victories this season, and I fancy him to cause a shock at The Crucible - should he make it. Which for my money he will do.
Prediction: 10-7 to Holt

Marco Fu Vs David Gilbert - Saturday morning/evening
Fu is in the best form of all the qualifiers this season. He's upset a lot of top 16 players in the first round, as well as getting to the German Masters final, and he appears to have found his form he showed a couple of years ago. Gilbert meanwhile is a player I enjoyed watching last year when he beat Martin Gould, and if he could upset Fu here it wouldn't be surprising. He came through a tough test in the last round, and ended Tony Drago's good run. It should be close, but the Hong Kong man should take it.
Prediction: 10-7 to Fu

Tom Ford Vs Alan McManus - Saturday afternoon/Sunday afternoon
Ford will be a hot favourite over Angles here, but there's no reason why McManus couldn't win it. The scot has so far come through scrappy affairs against Mehta and Bond. Tom Ford will be full of confidence after his semi-final appearance in the PTC Finals, and as long he doesn't get bogged down by Angles he should comfortably head through.
Prediction: Ford to win 10-7 or better

Martin Gould Vs Rod Lawler - Saturday afternoon/Sunday afternoon
Gould will have lots of confidence after Championship League and Shoot-out titles going to him so far in 2013 and could easily cause some damage at The Crucible. Don't underestimate Lawler though, who has had an incredible comeback season. After coming through Q School, he has won a PTC event and is already in the top 64. Lawler's best chance of victory will have to be by keeping it tight and frustrating Gould, who i'm sure will score big given the chance. I can't see that happening and Gould should be the winner on this occasion.
Prediction: 10-6 win for Martin Gould

Mark Davis Vs Liang Wenbo - Saturday afternoon/Sunday afternoon
Mark Davis is the unfortunate, world No.16 who has to qualify because of Ronnie O'Sullivan being the No.1 seed. He hasn't been given an easy ride through qualifying either, and could have hard work ahead of him in Liang Wenbo. Wenbo showed fantastic form, hitting 9 50's and a century break against Jimmy Robertson. On his day he could beat anyone and will hand a tough match to Mark, but I still think he'll go on through to the World Championships.
Prediction: 10-8 to Davis

Sunday Matches

Mark King Vs Yu DeLu
This should be a very close match, and Yu has played very well so far making 3 centuries in his last match. King will have a tough match here and I think that DeLu will do enough to win
Prediction: 10-8 to Yu DeLu

Marcus Campbell Vs Liam Highfield
This could be a tougher match than Marcus may have expected here, Highfield is playing well and has showed some fantastic fighting qualities from 4-0 down against Simon Bedford and 8-5 down against Jamie Jones. However, Highfield has had some long matches this week and if it goes close again, I don't think he would come through.
Prediction: Campbell to win 10-9

Joe Perry Vs Sam Baird
Perry is a big favourite for me to win his one, despite the good form shown in Baird's victories over Chen Zhe, Lines and McLeod so far. Perry has had a decent season and will want to end it by getting to The Crucible and getting to the Last 16 as he did last year. Experience could be a big factor in this one as Baird has never qualified for the World Championships before.
Prediction: A Perry victory, 10-6.

Dominic Dale Vs Alfie Burden
Dominic Dale hasn't really shone in any tournament this season, qualifying for events without really causing any upsets and he'll want to put that right. Alfie will be no walkover, as he has showed against Paul Davison and Dave Harold, coming from 4-0 down against Davison. The Welshmen should be the stronger on this occasion though and will fancy his chances of qualifying.
Prediction: 10-8 win for The Spaceman.

Peter Ebdon Vs Kurt Maflin
This time last year, Peter Ebdon came into the World Championship qualifiers having won the China Open, and then whitewashed Alfie Burden 10-0. This year, he hasn't won a single match in 2013. As much as he can practice for this, his form isn't there. Kurt Maflin on the other hand is in fantastic form. In the last round he beat Steve Davis 10-7, making 3 centuries in the process and he's made 4 centuries in total, in this years qualifiers. If Peter Ebdon plays how he has done in the back half of this season, he's in trouble.
Prediction: 10-7 to Maflin

Robert Milkins Vs Jimmy White
Jimmy White is one match away from the Crucible and i'm sure everyone will be cheering him on. He's looked good so far and has scored reasonably well in winning his first 2 matches. However, Robert Milkins has the quality of a top 16 player, and i'm sure he'll climb the few places he needs to next season to get there. Milkins has beaten quite a few players this season, most recently John Higgins at the China Open. Therefore, Jimmy unfortunately should be no match for him, but don't write him off yet.
Prediction: Milkins to win 10-7


Friday, 5 April 2013

World Championship Qualifiers Round 1

Time for the qualifiers for the biggest event on the calendar, the World Championship. After the members not on tour qualifiers the two players that have come into the main draw are Joe Swail and Justin Astley.

There are 16 matches in the first round of qualifying which are played across two days at the English institute of sport in Sheffield. In this blog I'm going to be picking out some matches to look out for and trying to predict the winners of all 16 matches.

The long(ish) road to The Crucible

Thepchaiya Un-Nooh Vs Scott Donaldson - This should be a close match this one and the best of 19 matches give the opportunity for the talented guys down the rankings to show more of their potential. Un-Nooh from Thailand has showed us glimpses of his potential already this season and he has a good chance of being an outside qualifier. As for the Scot Scott Donaldson, he hasn't gone as well as Un-Nooh this season, but may shine over the longer format. However I just see this one going the way of Thepchaiya, but it will be close so should be around 10-7.

Luca Brecel Vs Fraser Patrick - This particular match could be a lot closer than a lot of people may think. Of course Luca will be fancied by many to go on another run, but the draw hasn't been kind to him overall and I don't think the feat of last year will be repeated. Fraser Patrick may not be on the tour, but he has still played in plenty of qualifiers this year and has notable scalps to his name, such as young Michael White and even Martin Gould. I still think that Brecel will be too strong for Fraser and that he does prefer the longer format, as he showed in the UK Championship this season, and last seasons World Championship qualifiers. Therefore I think Brecel will take a 10-6 or 10-5 victory.

Pankaj Advani Vs Joe Swail - This is probably the tie of the round and will be a quality encounter which could also produce a shock result. World Billiards champion Advani will be the favourite for this one, and I think that if he can get through this match he could go on a run here. I was incredibly impressed with how Advani played in the Welsh Open to get to the quarter-finals, especially in his victory over Shaun Murphy. However, Joe Swail looked good in the amateur qualifiers and in some of the PTC events, so he will give Advani a challenge. My prediction though, is for a 10-7 Pankaj Advani win.

Qualifying Round 1 draw

Thepchaiya Un-Nooh Vs Scott Donaldson - Un-Nooh win
Zhang Anda Vs Passakorn Suwannawat - Zhang Anda 10-6 win
Thanawat Thirapongpaiboon Vs Jamie O'Neill - Easy enough win for Thira
Michael Wasley Vs Sean O'Sullivan - Close but I think Wasley will edge it
Dechawat Poomjeang Vs Michael Leslie - A win for Poomjaeng
Pankaj Advani Vs Joe Swail - Advani win
Tony Drago Vs Mohamed Khairy - Easy win for Drago, 10-3 or 10-4
Aditya Mehta Vs Daniel Wells - Close but Mehta edges it 10-8
Luca Brecel Vs Fraser Patrick - Luca Brecel victory
Robbie Williams Vs Li Yan - Going for a 10-6 Williams win
Ian Burns Vs Joel Walker - Burns is in decent form so 10-6 to him
Liam Highfield Vs Simon Bedford - Going for Highfield to get a run going, starting with a 10-7 win
Chen Zhe Vs Sam Baird - Close match and one for a decider. Baird edges it.
Paul Davison Vs Justin Astley - Astley to cause a possible upset as he likes this format
Craig Steadman Vs David Grace - Have to go for 10-8 to David Grace
Tian Pengfei Vs Martin O'Donnell - Will be going down to the wire, but 10-8 to Pengfei is my prediction

Best bet: Zhang Anda (No value in Brecel or Drago)

Well I have been looking forward to this as we're now full steam ahead as we will find out in the next 10 days, the qualifiers for The Crucible.