Friday, 20 November 2015

The Big UK Championship Preview

One of snookers big ones is upon us once again. The UK Championships at the York Barbican. It's the seasons first triple crown event, but the last in terms of the calendar year 2015. Plenty of good players are starting to bring it together at the right time too. Neil Robertson was the winner of the Champion of Champions where he built 2011 UK finalist Mark Allen in the final, following Allen's recent Bulgarian Open win. John Higgins came out on top in Daqing at the International Championships where Mark Selby lost out to Higgins in the semi-finals. I also think we are yet to see the best of the guys like Shaun Murphy, Judd Trump and world champion Stuart Bingham as well as Ding Junhui despite his Asian Tour win in October.

The UK Championship also takes on added importance with the race for the Masters, and getting into the top 16 to qualify. We also have an interesting first round draw for the battle to make the top 64 at the end of the season and stay on tour. The nature of the draw with seed 64 playing seed 65 in the first round, while 63 plays 66 and so on, makes for some very nervy battles between guys that all have an eye on keeping their tour cards.

When matters kick off in York on Tuesday for the first round, that round (Last 128) will be covered on World Snookers online streaming service and the usual betting streams, as TV coverage begins on the first Saturday as the BBC cover their first event since Stuart Bingham left the Crucible with the World Championship trophy in hand. The first two rounds at the York Barbican see an eight table set up, with 16 games over two sessions on the Tuesday, 24 over three sessions on Wednesday and Thursday. Friday is then used as a rest day before the BBC gets going on Saturday afternoon with 2 sessions of eight matches on Saturday and Sunday to complete the Last 64 games.

The other news to bring of course is that Ronnie O'Sullivan will not defend his UK title and it's anyone's guess as to when we'll see him back on the baize again in proper tournament play. That shouldn't take away from what will be a fantastic tournament with the best in the world battling for a big prize.

I'm sure we can expect the same faces on the BBC coverage, including Willie Thorne who has confirmed he will be there after his recent health troubles and we wish Willie all the best and I can't wait to hear his voice on the coverage once again. Meanwhile on Eurosport, they are going for a similar sort of line-up that brought us the German Masters in February where Ronnie O'Sullivan was on part-time punditry duty when not playing, but this time without that to worry about, he is relishing the opportunity to accompany his good friend Jimmy White in the studio (who himself is in the tournament and playing Stephen Maguire in the opening round before coverage begins and a surprise win there might dent Eurosport's plans). I've also been told that Neal Foulds will be on the Eurosport coverage in some form and that is always good news.

The Last 128 stages are best-of-11 frames and this continues up to and including the semi-finals on Saturday 5th after they were scaled down from best-of-17 frames for the 2014 tournament, while the final remains best-of-19 frames.

That is the background information ready for York, meaning it is time to take an in-depth look through the draw at some of the key clashes, while I attempt to predict the winners of each quarter of the draw and pluck out the eventual winner from the 128 players that start out.

Quarter 1

Last 128 Draw: (Picks in Bold)

Stuart Bingham Vs Jordan Brown (a)
Anthony Hamilton Vs Peter Lines
Dominic Dale Vs Michael Wild
Peter Ebdon Vs Lu Chenwei
Robert Milkins Vs Vinnie Calabrese
Andrew Higginson Vs David Grace
Graeme Dott Vs Nigel Bond
Jack Lisowski Vs Zak Surety
Gary Wilson Vs Martin O'Donnell
Martin Gould Vs Allan Taylor
David Morris Vs Michael Georgiou
Mark Allen Vs Zhao Xintong (a)
Matthew Stevens Vs Chris Wakelin
Michael Holt Vs Fraser Patrick
Joe Swail Vs Joel Walker
Ding Junhui Vs Adam Duffy (a)

The top quarter of the draw not only features the likes of world champion Stuart Bingham, former UK Champion Ding Junhui and 2011 UK finalist and recent Champion of Champions finalist Mark Allen amongst plenty of other potential challengers. However, there are also some important battles in the race to get into the top 64 at the end of the season as Peter Lines takes on Anthony Hamilton and David Morris plays Michael Georgiou. Morris is just over £2,000 clear of 65th place, while Georgiou is £11,000 adrift (according to the provisional end of season seedings) but with £4,000 guaranteed for first round winners such gaps can fluctuate greatly during the opening round. On the end of season seedings both Peter Lines and Anthony Hamilton are struggling to the extent that the loser of that first round game will be a big favourite to drop off of the tour.

Graeme Dott should be seen as a contender for this quarter with the draw he has and his pedigree. Last year he was a quarter-finalist at the UK Championships before losing to Stuart Bingham and Bingham was again his conqueror in the Last 16 of the World Championships. Dotty loves these big events as much as anyone and his fantastic match-play means that he can beat anyone. On the European Tour he has had a semi-final this season, and I don't think that anyone in his section standing between him and a Last 16 place is in particularly good form making Graeme a big threat. Dott is often underestimated in a draw and if the struggling Bingham continues on his poor run he could easily run riot through the draw.

Stuart Bingham as I say has struggled adapting to life as a world champion. I think it may be an even bigger struggle for someone like Bingham who had probably gotten to the stage of his career where world champion aspirations were fading and he would never be prepared for something like that happening to him. Other than a semi-final appearance at the Shanghai Masters his season has offered very little, with early exits in all of the European Tour events, the Australian Open, International Championship and the Champion of Champions. On the plus side for Stuart, he has a good record in York, making the quarter-finals in 2012 before consecutive semi-finals in 2013 and 2014, and perhaps this tournament could offer a turning point in Ballrun's season if he can keep his recent UK run going. Looking at his draw there is a decent chance that Stuart has a couple of rounds to play himself into the tournament and if he can do that he might be able to pick up a bit of form along the way.

Mark Allen is in fantastic form of late and has been going along pretty nicely all season. He had already reached the Last 16 of the Riga Open and the Ruhr Open as well as the Shanghai Masters semi-finals before winning in Bulgaria. That title got him though to the Champion of Champions where he breezed past Barry Hawkins, Stephen Maguire and Kyren Wilson to reach the final where he lost to Neil Robertson. In terms of his record at recent additions of the UK Championships is relatively good. When the event came back to the York Barbican in 2011 he lost out in the final to Judd Trump. In 2013 he made the quarter-finals before losing out to Ricky Walden. However, he has not necessarily got the easiest first round draw in the world. Having to play Zhao Xintong is not easy as we all know how talented the young Chinese player is, and the fact that he is doing so well out in the World Amateur Championships in Egypt (heading towards the final at the time of writing) is testament to that. If he can get past Zhao his draw does not get that much easier either with a possible Last 32 meeting with Martin Gould who has re-discovered some form over the course of 2015, while Ding Junhui is a potential Last 16 opponent. To progress in York over the next week or so he will have to continue playing as well as he has done recently.

Ding Junhui has been one of the missing men this season, playing very little main tour snooker. Although, when he has played he has looked in better shape than in the disappointing season he had last season. His Last 32 exit in surprise fashion to James Cahill is evidence towards that case, as he did in the 2012 edition of the UK Championships to Ryan Day. His record in York since the tournament came back to the Barbican in 2011 is pretty poor with 2011 being the only year he has achieved much of note reaching the quarter-finals, while in 2013 Ricky Walden ended his amazing winning run (having come to York off of the back of three straight ranking titles) in the Last 16. This year though he'll come to the UK Championships refreshed after skipping all four European Tour events so far, and failing to qualify for the Champion of Champions. He has not been playing badly though as I mentioned, winning the Asian Tour event in October, and reaching the Shanghai Masters quarter-finals before losing a deciding frame to eventual champion Kyren Wilson. His draw looks tasty without being too difficult if he plays well, the possibility of playing the unlucky Michael Holt in the Last 32. (Holt has lost to the eventual champion in two out of the four European Tour events and two out of the three ranking titles, while the Ruhr Open was the only event he did not lose to an eventual finalist). In the section he is in though, it is very difficult not to see Ding as a major contender.

Quarter Winner: Ding Junhui

Quarter 2

Last 128 Draw: (Picks in Bold)

Judd Trump Vs Hammad Miah (a)
Stuart Carrington Vs Liam Highfield
Liang Wenbo Vs Gareth Allen
Jimmy Robertson Vs Lu Ning
Mark Williams Vs Hamza Akbar
Tom Ford Vs Scott Donaldson
Kyren Wilson Vs Paul Davison
Mike Dunn Vs Thanawat Thirapongpaiboon
Gerard Greene Vs Michael Leslie
David Gilbert Vs Jason Weston
Yu De Lu Vs Michael Wasley
Marco Fu Vs Hatem Yassin
Mark King Vs Ross Muir
Ben Woollaston Vs Steven Hallworth
Zhou Yuelong Vs Craig Steadman
Shaun Murphy Vs Ashley Hugill

In terms of the race for the top 64, there is another huge match between Stuart Carrington and Liam Highfield. Liam is 64th on the provisional end of season seedings only £1,000 clear of 65th place, while Stuart Carrington is 68th with a £3,000 deficit to make up and the two players are very closely matched and I expect quite a nervy game there. Yu De Lu can take a huge step towards safety by beating Michael Wasley. Yu currently sits £3,800 clear of 65th place and with £4,000 for first round winners he would be practically safe from tour relegation. Craig Steadman has a very tough game with Zhou Yuelong and as he is only in 61st place £4,000 clear and if he were to lose that game he could be thrown into a real battle. Gerard Greene also has a big game against Michael Leslie as he is presently 67th on the provisional end of season list £2,000 away from safety, so the pressure will be on as he will certainly be favourite to win that game.

As for the main contenders to win this quarter, Shaun Murphy, Judd Trump, Mark Williams and Marco Fu will all be in the hunt, and the prospect of Last 16 de ja vu for Murphy and Fu after Marco's 6-5 win in the 2014 edition. Kyren Wilson, Liang Wenbo and Ben Woollaston are all reasonable outsiders to win the quarter.

Marco Fu has had a bit of a nothing season so far, entering very few events and doing averagely across those events. A quarter-final at the International Championship is his best effort, but he'll be disappointed not to have gone on further there, whilst he did not qualify for the Champion of Champions but he did show signs of improvement in Daqing and the Asian Tour event beforehand where he was knocking good breaks in for fun. Fu made the quarter-finals of the UK Championship last year, but a year on i'm still unsure as to how he managed to beat Shaun Murphy 6-5 in the Last 16 with how poorly he played and how much better Murphy seemed to be. I don't see anyone seeing Fu off before the Last 16 so there is potential for the pair to meet again which will be particularly interesting.

Mark Williams consistent form is continuing but he has still to that into a tour title. All year he has been playing well with good performances at the back end of last season, and that has continued this term. In the European Tour he boasts a semi-final appearance, as well as two quarter-finals and a last 16 showing. In the ranking events his Last 32 Daqing exit to Un-Nooh was unlucky, while he made the quarter-finals again in Shanghai. Mark has recently been playing in the General Cup concluding tomorrow and he has reached the final there so he will be match sharp for York and if he can get over the travelling he shouldn't have any problems in the opening round. His potential Last 32 opponent could cause him problems but if he can get through that Judd Trump could await in the Last 16 who he doesn't have a bad recent record against and Judd himself has had a shaky season so there could be another quarter-final on the cards for the Welshman if not more in the next week or so.

Judd Trump has been what I would describe as very "hit and miss" so far this season. There have been several examples of this throughout the first half of this season. In Bendigo he lost 5-1 in the quarter-finals to Stephen Maguire but was by no means outplayed, as he could easily have won 5-0 himself. There was also the embarrassing 6-0 loss to low ranked Michael Wild in the International Championship qualifying round just after he'd lost in the final of the Shanghai Masters. He then followed that up a week later with a Last 128 exit in the Ruhr Open to amateur Hammad Miah. At the Champion of Champions he looked like the "old Judd Trump" before he matured and built a useful safety game, particularly with his hit and hope shot from a snooker at 3-2 down which ultimately cost him the match. Even when he has looked good getting to the quarter-finals of ET's 2 and 4 he lost in surprising fashion each time after playing very well to get that far. Even his record at the UK Championships since 2011 could be described as mixed. After taking the trophy home in 2011, he lost from 5-1 up 6-5 to Mark Joyce in the first round defending his title in 2012, while in his 2014 Last 16 exit to Mark Allen he played pretty ordinarily after three brilliant performances in the early rounds on the new Last 128 structure, before losing 10-9 in last year's final to Ronnie O'Sullivan. In terms of his draw, he plays Miah in the first round and he'll be seeking revenge for that Ruhr Open loss, while a possible Last 32 meeting with either of Liang Wenbo or Jimmy Robertson is not too desirable. Therefore, it is not totally inconceivable that the man going into the tournament as the favourite could suffer an early exit just as easily as he could contend for that title as many seem to expect.

Shaun Murphy is somebody that anybody who reads this blog will gather by now that I think highly of. I also have a huge sense that something big is to come from Shaun this season after a little bit of a quiet start. He certainly has not played badly, winning his first three matches on the opening day of his European Tour campaigns for fun to reach Sunday's Last 16, progressing on to the final in Furth and the quarter-finals in Bulgaria where he was unlucky losing out in a decider to Mark Williams. As for the main ranking events he has had a slower start to the season. He would say himself he was underprepared for the Australian Open where he lost in the Last 32 5-4 to Carter and he was disappointed to lose in the Last 16 of the Shanghai Masters after losing four frames in a row from 3-1 ahead. In the International Championships Last 16 there was little he could do being totally outplayed by John Higgins in a 6-0 whitewash. He has been working hard and cueing well as always, without necessarily knocking in as many long pots as he did on the way to winning the Masters in January, or reaching the finals of the German Masters in February and the World Championships. He has been performing well in the big events for some time really, reaching at least the semi-finals of all of the last four Masters, and at least the quarter-finals in the last three World Championships. As for the UK Championships he was a semi-finalist in 2010 before the event came to York in 2011 where he reached the quarter-finals that year, the final in 2012 and has lost out in deciders in the Last 16 in both of the last two editions. If he can get past the local lad Ashley Hugill in round one, then he will either play young Chinese Zhou Yuelong or good friend Craig Steadman in the Last 64 both of which would be tough games. Mark King or Ben Woollaston are possible Last 32 tests, while a Last 16 meeting with Marco Fu is the most likely if Shaun can make it that far. He'll be fired up and determined to play well and win when he turns up in York, of that there is no doubt and after losing to 15 year old Yan Bingtao he'll be fired up even more in my opinion and very much ready to go.

Quarter Winner: Shaun Murphy

Quarter 3

Last 128 Draw: (Picks in Bold)

Neil Robertson Vs Alex Taubman (a)
Aditya Mehta Vs Sam Baird
Fergal O'Brien Vs Thor Chuan Leong
Thepchaiya Un-Nooh Vs Darryl Hill
Stephen Maguire Vs Jimmy White
Rory McLeod Vs Jamie Cope
Mark Davis Vs Rhys Clark
Ken Doherty Vs Tony Drago
Jamie Burnett Vs Sanderson Lam
Alan McManus Vs Eden Sharav
Li Hang Vs Lee Walker
Ricky Walden Vs Itaro Santos
Rod Lawler Vs Daniel Wells
Ali Carter Vs Alfie Burden
Tian Pengfei Vs Ian Burns
John Higgins Vs Leo Fernandez (a)

Not as many players in the third section of the draw feature in the battle for top 64 places, but both Aditya Mehta and Ian Burns face tough games in their fight for survival. Burns is provisionally 66th at the end of the season, just £2,000 away from 64th with £4,000 guaranteed if he can beat an in form Tian Pengfei. Meanwhile Aditya Mehta is 70th £6,500 away from safety as he takes on recent Bulgarian Open semi-finalist Sam Baird in the first round. Meanwhile, it is a big quarter in terms of the contenders to both win the section and the title. Neil Robertson is recent Champion of Champions, while John Higgins won the International Championships just before that. Stephen Maguire was a semi-finalist last year, while Ricky Walden has twice been a semi-finalist in York in the last 4 years. Mark Davis and Ali Carter could also cause problems in this quarter, as both were losing semi-finalists in the 2012 edition, whilst Davis made the quarter-finals again last year.

Stephen Maguire has had a strange season so far. He started it off by making the world cup final alongside John Higgins, before reaching the semi-finals in Australia a week later. Since then it has been a struggle with a first round (Last 32) exit in Shanghai before also losing in the Last 128 qualifier for the International Championship. With missing the Bulgarian Open, that gave him a month off after his Last 32 exit at the Ruhr Open, ahead of the Champion of Champions. He looked much better in Coventry and scored very heavily in his win against Mark Selby in round one, and did not have a bad game later that evening when he lost 6-2 to eventual runner-up Mark Allen, making a 107 in one of the two frames he won. Last year he made the semi-finals in York before losing out to Judd Trump. The other carrot dangling for Maguire is that he cannot afford an early exit as he currently sits in 16th on the provisional seedings with Ryan Day £10,000 behind him looking to come in and steal the final spot in January's Masters. That could push Maguire into playing some great snooker over the next week or so.

John Higgins has been playing some stunning snooker over the course of this season so far. Winning in Bendigo and Daqing and that has played him back inside the top 8 in the world rankings. Even at the Champion of Champions he was unlucky not to make it into the semi-finals losing a quarter-final decider to Joe Perry. However, at the UK Championships the last time he made it past the Last 16 was when he won the competition in 2010 (the last time it was held outside of York) which is quite an unsuccessful run by Higgins' standards. His draw this year is far from easy with the potential to play in form Chinese Tian Pengfei in the Last 64, while even his first round opponent Leo Fernandez beat several pro's in making the quarter-finals of the Asian Tour event in October, and he could meet Ali Carter again (after their Last 16 meeting at the Champion of Champions) in the Last 32.

Neil Robertson comes into the UK Championships on a good run after bagging the £100,000 first prize by winning the Champion of Champions. He also reached the quarter-finals before losing out to Mark Selby but other than that Neil has played very little and not been at his best when he was playing at the beginning of the season. He opted not to enter European Tour events 1, 2 and 4, while in the third in Mulheim at the Ruhr Open he lost in the first round to James Cahill. He also lost in the first round of the Shanghai Masters 5-4 to Jamie Cope, and previously in Australia 5-4 to Matt Selt. In the really big events is when Neil brings his best snooker, just as I mentioned earlier with Shaun Murphy, and that shows from the fact that he has played in 3 of the last four Masters finals, as well as winning the UK Championship in 2013 after reaching the semi-finals in 2011. His 2012 quarter-final exit came after losing six consecutive frames from 4-0 ahead against eventual champion Mark Selby. Last year he lost surprisingly to Graeme Dott in the last 16 6-5 (although Dott led 5-0 at one stage). In terms of his draw, I think he will not have too many problems getting through the opening couple of rounds. In the Last 32 he could face Fergal O'Brien who is always tough to beat, or another possible opponent at this stage is Thepchaiya Un-Nooh with his incredible heavy scoring presenting it's own dangers so the Australian might not have it all his own way.

Ricky Walden I feel is a big contender turning up at the Barbican this year, even if his season so far has been a little mix and match. At the Australian Open he suffered a deciding frame Last 16 exit to Stephen Maguire, while he withdrew from Shanghai due to the birth of his first child which has had an effect on his form also in my view. Even though he made the final of the Asian Tour event before losing 4-3 from 3-1 ahead against Ding Junhui, he still lost in his held-over Last 128 match 6-4 to Tian Pengfei despite playing very well in portions of the match. I have a very high opinion of Walden and believe that his career will be a little disappointing if he doesn't win a major event in the UK, having won three ranking titles in China. He has much more talent than certain players that have won World and UK titles in the past in my view, although I often believe that Walden suffers issues with concentration and appears to "switch off" for portions of matches. This is something I witnessed up close when watching the first session of his World Championship match with Graeme Dott this year. He looked like a world beater early on as he went 3-1 ahead only to lose four of the next five frames and trail 5-4 at the end of that session. Then when watching the second session on a combination of my phone on the way home, and the TV when I got back I was encouraged to see Ricky playing better again coming from 6-4 behind to lead 7-6 but once again he lost three frames in a row to trail 9-7 and eventually lost 10-8. At times he looked like a world beater, while at others it looked like anyone on the world tour could have beaten him. I have spoken often on the blog about Ricky's inconsistencies, but when he puts it altogether like he did in the 2014 International Championship he is seriously unstoppable. His record at the UK Championships has been good in recent years reaching the semi-finals twice in York in 2011 and 2013, whilst losing in 2014 in the Last 16 to Stuart Bingham after he seemed to completely run out of steam after a busy period of snooker. This year he will be refreshed having played little snooker this season (well as refreshed as you can be as a new Dad) and I think there is certainly a big run in him over the next week or so.

Quarter Winner: Ricky Walden

Quarter 4

Last 128 Draw: (Picks in Bold)

Barry Hawkins Vs Andy Hicks (a)
Robin Hull Vs Zhang Anda
Anthony McGill Vs James Cahill
Luca Brecel Vs Hossein Vafei Ayouri
Joe Perry Vs James Wattana
Robbie Williams Vs Mitchell Mann
Matt Selt Vs Zhang Yong
Kurt Maflin Vs Sean O'Sullivan
Dechawat Poomjaeng Vs Chris Melling
Ryan Day Vs Duane Jones
Mark Joyce Vs Barry Pinches
Michael White Vs Sydney Wilson
Xiao Guodong Vs Noppon Saengkham
Jamie Jones Vs Ian Glover
Cao Yupeng Vs Oliver Lines
Mark Selby Vs Joe O'Connor (a)

The race for the top 64 continues in the bottom quarter of the draw. Zhang Anda is still out in Hong Kong having just lost in the semi-finals of the non-ranking General Cup, before he takes on Robin Hull in the opening round of York. He currently trails 64th on the provisional end of season seedings by just over £5,000. Meanwhile Cao Yupeng has a massive game with Oliver Lines. Yupeng is 65th on the provisional end of season seedings only £1,000 adrift, but he'll certainly have his work cut out against Lines, who himself is 60th on the list, but is £7,000 clear already and should be safe. The bottom quarter of the draw is also full of contenders, with Mark Selby being a recent semi-finalist in Daqing, while Joe Perry made the semi-finals of the Champion of Champions and Ryan Day reached the final of ET4 in Bulgaria.

Michael White has not had the best of seasons at all so far and has not quite showed the same form that got him to his Indian Open title, since winning that competition. Last 16 exits in Daqing to Selby and at the Champion of Champions to Joe Perry always looked likely. In fact he has failed to get past the last 16 since an Australian Open quarter-final at the very start of the season in any event of ranking importance (including the European Tour). At the UK Championships his record does not look much better, losing in the Last 64 round in both 2013 and 2014 since the event started being played according to the Flat 128 structure. It will not be any easier for him this week, despite two relatively easy looking matches to begin with, his potential Last 32 opponent is the in form Ryan Day who of course is looking for a good run in York to try and get himself into January's Masters.

Ryan Day has been playing well over the course of this season and finally looks ready to get himself back into the world's top 16. This season he has made the Last 16 of both the Chinese ranking events, losing to Ding 5-4 in Shanghai before beating him 6-5 in Daqing before losing to eventual finalist David Gilbert. At the Bulgarian Open he stormed into the final, most notably whitewashing Mark Selby in the quarter-finals. He also made the quarter-finals of the Riga Open and has really looked in fine form since then. His draw for the first round or two should not trouble him if he continues to play as he is, and then it all comes back to that potential Last 32 meeting with fellow Welshman Michael White. Right now, I believe Day is the stronger of these two guys and has the potential to go on and contend in the latter stages at the Barbican this year.

Barry Hawkins had a good start to his season when he won the opening European Tour event of the year in Riga and this has given him the leeway to pick and choose his events since then, missing the recent Bulgarian Open, although he did make the last 8 of the Ruhr Open. In the major events though Hawkins has struggled. He lost in the Last 32 of the Shanghai Masters by quite a surprising scoreline 5-1 to Martin Gould before losing at the same stage of the International 6-4 to Jimmy Robertson. He was unlucky to draw Mark Allen at the Champion of Champions under a week after his opponents Bulgarian success and he hardly played badly in losing that match 4-2. As far as the UK Championships goes, Barry has a point to prove after the events of last year. For those that do not remember (though Hawkins certainly will not be one of those) Barry was calmly going about his business and cruising to victory in the Last 64 leading Nigel Bond 5-0 planning both an early night and probably thinking about the Last 32. A few hours later and Hawkins had totally lost his game and the match itself 6-5 after 6 consecutive frames from Bond. That result seemed to haunt him for a while afterwards as he lost 6-1 in the first round of the Masters, and to Mark King in both the Last 32 of the German Masters and Players Championship finals without ever looking like victory was a possibility. A Last 64 exit to Aditya Mehta in the Welsh Open and being knocked out in the group stages of the Championship League winners group hit him hard, as he withdrew from the Indian Open qualifier as he simply was not interested. With all of that in mind Barry will want to put some of those demons to bed when he returns to York this year, but with a very tough looking draw beyond the first round that certainly will not be a simple task.

Mark Selby has had a decent season so far reaching the semi-finals of the International Championship and the quarters in Bulgaria, after an unlucky Last 16 exit in the Ruhr Open to Mark Williams. He's been going very well without yet getting a major title, although there have only been three major ranking tournaments this year and Selby had to withdraw from one. Marks record in York is particularly good as he won the title in 2012 and nearly defended it the next year. He'll also want to put right his early exit against David Morris last year just after the birth of his first child. His draw could be tricky after the opening round, but that's how Mark seems to prefer playing the game and that may spur him on to a good run this week.

Joe Perry has been in good form already this season and losing to eventual champions for fun it would seem. At the Champion of Champions he reached the semi-finals before losing narrowly to good friend Neil Robertson, while in both the Australian Open and International Championships he lost to John Higgins in the quarter-finals with John going on to win both events. His first round exit to Kyren Wilson at the Shanghai Masters came to another eventual winner so it is not as if he has played badly at all and has been very unlucky. He has not been in quite such good form on the European Tour with early exits but again to good opponents. His losses came to eventual runner-up Tom Ford at the Riga Open, top players like Judd Trump in the Last 64 of the Paul Hunter Classic, and Mark Allen in a Last 32 decider in Mulheim before losing to Michael Holt at the Bulgarian Open in the Last 32. Talking to someone the other day about Joe Perry we discussed that if Joe didn't win a Triple Crown event he perhaps would not be remembered in snooker history as such a good player is he clearly is. With the form he is in now I believe that he could go on and win this week, even though his record in the UK Championships may not suggest this. In the 2011-2014 York editions he actually failed to qualify in 2011 and 2012 on the old tiered structure before reaching the Last 16 and losing to eventual champion Neil Robertson in 2013, and losing in the Last 32 to Mark Davis in a deciding frame. His draw for this years event doesn't look too bad until the Last 32 where he could possibly Matt Selt or Kurt Maflin, though neither has been at their best in the last couple of months. If Joe can play himself into the tournament his form is certainly good enough to make him a title contender at the Barbican over the next couple of weeks.

Quarter Winner: Joe Perry

Predicted Tournament Runner-up: Ricky Walden

Predicted UK Champion: Ding Junhui


That is very much that for the information for the UK Championships, both fact and opinion, but as the UK Championship is a massive event you can expect updates throughout the event, starting with an updated preview for the TV stages with this content repeated with a look at all 32 second round fixtures, along with my round-by-round updates and previews. Now it's time to watch the players put the hard yards in and start our 2015 York story.

Tuesday, 17 November 2015

Fantasy Snooker: Points Update and UK Players

After a hectic period in the calendar there is a little bit of calm before the storm that is the UK Championships. Of course the UK Championship is the first of the seasons three Triple Crown events and is therefore the first of three DOUBLE POINTS events on the Fantasy Snooker calendar. Firstly, here are the standings going into York:

1st: Gary: 298 +0.2 million Robertson (42) and Allen (30)
2nd: SnookerFollower: 276 +0.6 million Higgins (5) and Allen (30)
3rd: Gorkem Kurt: 267 +1.7 million Robertson (42)
4th: Kjetil: 265 +2.1 million Carter (4)
5th: Anthony Ward: 262 +3 million Higgins (5)
6th: Spanish Snooker Blog: 246 +1.6 million Trump (2)
7th: Igor: 239 +2.8 million Higgins (5)
8th: LTD: 197 +2.1 million Selby (0) and Perry (14)
9th: Josh Cooper: 177 +0.6 million Murphy (0) and Carter (4)
10th: Phil Mudd: 176 +3.9 million Trump (2)
11th: Chris Watts: 159 +3.8 million Trump (2)
12th: Kellie Barker: 156 +-0 million Maguire (9) and Carter (4)
13th: Andrew Brooker: 154 +17.1 million Selby (0) and Robertson (42)
14th: John McBride: 141 +13.1 million Murphy (0)
15th: Michael Coudray: 138 +6 million Selby (0) and Allen (30)
16th: Kai: 129 +0.7 million Selby (0) and Yuelong (5)
17th: TungstenDarts: 113 +10.5 million Higgins (5)
18th: Ezgi Ulutas: 102 +5.2 million Selby (0) and Murphy (0)
19th: Guillermo: 79 -0.6 million Murphy (0)

Once again there has been some quality tipping and plenty of change at the very top of the league, while others did quite poorly in the Champion of Champions event. In terms of information for the UK Championships, you have 8 million as usual to spend on a maximum of two players, along with any leftover money to your name as shown in the table above. I also wish to reiterate that points begin from the Last 128 round starting on Tuesday 24th November, but you cannot pick any of the amateur players that feature in the event. So here are the players:

Stuart Bingham – 6 million
Mark Selby – 5.8 million
Neil Robertson– 5.6 million
Shaun Murphy – 5.5 million
Judd Trump – 5.4 million
John Higgins – 5.3 million
Barry Hawkins – 5.2 million
Ding Junhui – 5 million
Mark Allen – 4.9 million
Joe Perry – 4.8 million
Ricky Walden – 4.6 million
Mark Williams – 4.5 million
Marco Fu – 4.3 million
Stephen Maguire – 4.2 million
Michael White – 4.1 million
Robert Milkins – 4 million

Players Seeded 17-32 – 3.5 million
Players Seeded 33-48 – 3 million
Players Seeded 49-64 – 2.5 million

Players seeded 65- 80 – 2 million

Players seeded 81 or below – 1 million


Got all of that information? Good! Then send me in your picks as usual and good luck for this key event in the season of the Fantasy Snooker League.

Sunday, 8 November 2015

Champion of Champions Preview

Tuesday sees the start of the Champion of Champions event at the Ricoh Arena in Coventry and an event that I have been looking forward to for a while and is a fantastic event for several reasons even though it is only in it's third year. First of all is the nature of the event. 16 players who have all won titles of some kind, both big and small being rewarded by getting their chance to compete against each other on the big stage. It's a one table set-up at the Ricoh so everybody gets their turn on the TV and it's a big opportunity for some guys. The event is broadcast on terrestrial television with ITV4 continuing their superb coverage, that it is safe to say has been enjoyed heavily by the majority. Clive Everton, Neal Foulds and Alan McManus make up a superb commentary team, and it's great to hear the voices of all three of them on TV because unfortunately these days the likes of Clive and Neal don't get these commentary gigs as often as they used to but they are probably two of my personal favourites at what they do. It also means that I won't be watching this event on mute with some music on in the background.

The only downside to this year for may fans will be the absence of the only man to win the event in it's two year history, and that is Ronnie O'Sullivan. Ronnie has decided he doesn't want to come back and defend his title, which he has earned the right to do so by winning it last year along with the 2014 UK Championships, which incidentally he has also chosen not to defend. The discussion on when we will next see the Rocket will rumble on until he next enters an event, with the next two big ones coming up being the Masters (the draw for which will be some time after the UK Championships or during the BBC coverage of the UK Final like it has been in recent years) or the German Masters (qualifiers for which are in December following the UK Championships) but more than likely if he plays again it will be at Sheffield and my opinion is that we may not much longer left to enjoy O'Sullivan's brilliance on our TV screens.

The format isn't always clear to many for the Champion of Champions, so as always I will make things clearer for you all. The event splits the 16 players effectively into four "groups" so that for example group one on Tuesday sees two Last 16 games being played back to back over the best-of-7 frames, with the winners of the two matches in the afternoon then playing in a best-of-11 quarter-final match in the evening, the winner of which moves on to Saturday's semi-finals. This is the same for every group on Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday and Friday which provides the four players to play out the semi-finals on Saturday, one in the afternoon and one in the evening, each over the best-of-11 frames before the two winners face off for the title in the best-of-19 frames final that is played over two sessions on Sunday. The winner of Group One on Wednesday plays the winner of Group Four from Thursday, and Group Two on Friday plays the winner of Tuesday's Group Three. Got it?

The 16 players as I say have got into this event either by winning a major event (one of the main ranking events or indeed the invitational events such as the prestigious Masters, or the much less prestigious Championship League) or one of the minor ranking European Tour or Asian Tour events that make up the World Snooker calendar. Now i'm going to take you through the draw, by looking at each group and the chances of each player in that group, along with an explanation of how they qualified for Coventry.


Group One (Wednesday 11th November)

Draw:

John Higgins Vs Ali Carter
Joe Perry Vs Michael White

Michael White is really not in great form at the moment. Most recently his loss to Ricky Walden in the Last 64 of the Bulgarian Open came from 3-1 ahead and was his third Last 64 exit in the four European Tour events. At the International Championship he made the Last 16 but struggled on the way to doing so, and he then looked very poor in that match against Mark Selby and was duly punished. To go with that he continued his poor head to head record with Mark Davis by losing their match in the first round of the Shanghai Masters 5-1. Put together, that is a very poor run of form to be on and that must be denting his confidence, (most of which he gained by winning the Indian Open in March which was how he qualified for Coventry), as each poor tournament goes by and with a tough opponent like Joe Perry in the first round this week, things won't get any easier for Michael on Wednesday and he will have to work very hard to get out of this mini slump.

Ali Carter graces the Ricoh Arena once again this year, after his emotional return to playing snooker in the UK at this event last year, and the reception he got that afternoon from the crowd brought a tear to the eyes of plenty and i'm sure he'll remember that moment with a great deal of fondness. This year though he has qualified after winning the Paul Hunter Classic in August by beating Shaun Murphy 4-3 in the final. He has not really featured a great deal since that triumph in Furth, failing to qualify for the Shanghai Masters, skipping the recent Bulgarian Open as well as losing in the Last 32 in Mulheim and the Last 64 of the International in Daqing. His first round opponent is also the hugely in form John Higgins so he is going to have hard work in that match from the get go, but Carter will certainly run him close.

Joe Perry's form looks to be improving quite a bit over the course of the last couple of weeks, especially with the scoring he showed at the Bulgarian Open. Despite being knocked out in the Last 32, 4-2 to Michael Holt who is playing very well himself, he knocked in 4 centuries in the 10 frames of the tournament he won which is an incredible ratio. He also reached the quarter-finals of the International Championship losing out to eventual champion John Higgins 6-3. He's certainly the favourite to beat a struggling Michael White in the first round and if he can come through that then he has a decent chance of going on further. The key element to Joe's form is his scoring. He is usually a tight safety player with plenty of knowledge of the game to think of ways out of trouble, but the important thing is taking advantage when he does force a mistake, so if he can carry his scoring form on from Bulgaria then he is going to be a force to contend with in Coventry.

John Higgins comes to the Ricoh Arena off of a very busy, yet productive period of snooker for him. His win at the International Championship is his second ranking title of the season at such an early stage of it too. He also reached the Last 16 of this weekends Bulgarian Open before losing to Mark Williams, who was on fire in that match. Higgins also played in the Asian Tour in the week before the International Championship losing out in a Last 16 decider against Ben Woollaston. So, as Higgins comes into this on Wednesday he's barely had a minute to breathe and all the travelling in this short space of time coupled with the volume of snooker could leave him quite drained with another two very tough matches to win if he is to progress from the group. What he has left in the tank in terms of mental energy, as much as physical is up for debate but his confidence surely could not be higher now given the run he is on and this confidence and fantastic form could be the key factor that pushes him on for this event.

Group Prediction: Higgins to beat Carter 4-2 and Perry to see of White by the same score. Higgins then to beat Perry 6-4 in the Group Final.

Group Four (Thursday 12th November)

Draw:

Neil Robertson Vs Rory McLeod
Shaun Murphy Vs Yan Bingtao

Rory McLeod came through to the Champion of Champions with a timely first professional win of any ranking performance when he beat Tian Pengfei to win the Ruhr Open in October as part of the European Tour series for the 2015/2016 season. We all know Rory has been on the circuit for a long time, and on very rare occasions he beats a top player and gets through to the latter stages of an event. The unexpected nature of his win in Mulheim can actually be quite exaggerated by his results either side of that tournament. In International Championship qualifying he lost 6-1 to Daniel Wells without threatening, and in the first round of the Bulgarian Open on Friday he was beaten 4-0 by Sam Baird scoring 23 points in the process. Playing someone who he also has such a bad record against as he does with Neil Robertson I give him very little chance in round one.

Yan Bingtao meanwhile, obviously qualified for this event as the other half of the China B world cup winning duo that included Zhou Yuelong. Yan is not presently on the tour after his tour card was deferred for a year because of visa issues. The main issue for him getting a visa to play snooker in this country may be his age. At 15 years of age he's already showing more talent and potential than a lot of players on the tour have, and I think he can certainly cause Shaun Murphy some problems on Thursday. In fact he would have been disappointed to lose in the first round of the recent Asian Tour event 4-2 to fellow amateur Oliver Brown. His most impressive win is probably a 4-0 Asian Tour win in June 2014 against Stuart Bingham, a man that 11 months later would go on to become world champion. The upshot then is that Yan is a man not to be underestimated and I look forward to seeing how he goes on Thursday afternoon.

Neil Robertson enters this years Champion of Champions with mixed form from the early parts of this snooker campaign. Despite reaching the quarter-finals of the International Championship before losing to Mark Selby, we have seen very little of the Australian in recent times. He has only chosen to enter one of the four European Tour events, which was the Ruhr Open where he lost 4-3 to James Cahill in round one. He also lost in round one of the Australian Open and in round one of the Shanghai Masters both by 5-4 score lines. With all of this Neil may be a little low on confidence, but he will see this period as a chance to ignite his season. He knows he has to step ahead of the UK Championships where he is defending his ranking money from winning the event two years ago. When it comes to Coventry Neil actually has a decent record from the previous two times the event has been held making it out of his group and into the semi-finals on both occasions. His first round opponent in Rory McLeod is one he would expect to beat easily, and following that he can expect a very tough game against the winner of Yan Bingtao or Shaun Murphy so once more it won't be plain sailing for Neil.

Shaun Murphy to me seems like he is cueing really well at the moment, but without getting the little bit of luck to achieve the results that would necessarily justify that. At the International Championship he looked very good in the opening couple of rounds, but there was nothing anyone could have done about how John Higgins played in their Last 16 match. Hence the 6-0 win for Higgins. In the European Tour events Murphy has been going along nicely, getting to every Sunday where he has lost twice in the Last 16, once in the final which was at the Paul Hunter Classic and once most recently at the weekend in Bulgaria. He made 4 centuries over the course of his matches and was striking the cue ball beautifully. In the end he was unlucky to lose to an even more impressive Mark Williams 4-3. Murphy's record in Coventry is odd having failed yet to win a game in the competition, but usually he goes well in these events, in front of a big crowd and the one-table "all eyes on you" set-up so I don't expect this to last much longer. In fact, evidence of how much Murphy likes these events is his record at the Masters in recent years. He won the competition this year for the first time (which is how he has qualified for this years Champion of Champions) and he has been a regular feature in the semi-finals in London, making at least that stage in all of the last 4 years. His aim for this week will be transfer some of that form to the similar sort of set-up for this tournament at the Ricoh Arena.

Group Prediction: Robertson to beat McLeod 4-0, Murphy to beat Bingtao 4-1. Shaun to make the semi-finals beating Neil 6-5.

Group Three (Tuesday 10th November)

Draw:

Stuart Bingham Vs Zhou Yuelong
Judd Trump Vs Kyren Wilson

Zhou Yuelong qualified for the Champion of Champions as part of the teenage double act for China B that won the snooker World Cup in Wuxi in June. Zhou unlike his partner Yan is currently on the tour and certainly causing a lot of problems for players already having made it to 62 in the world after a season and a half on tour. That's a good achievement when you consider he's a young Chinese player having to make his trade away from home and his family mainly playing in Europe and the Uk of course. He was just a deciding frame away from the quarter-finals of the recent International Championship, beating Martin Gould before losing 6-5 to Thepchaiya Un-Nooh. In January he did make it to the quarter-finals of one of the Asian Tour events, which is his best run and I don't think Stuart Bingham will be taking him lightly. Given Stuart's form since becoming world champion, Zhou certainly has a chance of victory on Tuesday afternoon.

Kyren Wilson faces a repeat of the Shanghai Masters final here in the opening round of the Champion of Champions. Obviously that 10-9 win against Judd Trump in September won him that tournament which is why he is in this event in the first place, so Judd will be looking to take out some revenge for that here. Kyren will still be buzzing in part from such a major win in September and he's had some tough losses since then. At the Ruhr Open, Aditya Mehta ground him down quite badly, while Allen in the International Championship Last 32 was by no means an easy task and Ryan Day came back at him well from 3-1 down in the recent Bulgarian Open. Judd Trump seemed rejuvenated in Sofia too so beating him again will be an incredibly big ask. In a best-of-7 he'll need to get off to a fast start to give Judd a challenge.

Stuart Bingham continues to struggle as world champion, which is something i'm bored of writing in preview upon preview. Another early exit reigned supreme at the Bulgarian Open as he missed plenty of chances in his 4-3 Last 64 defeat to Mark Allen. The draws haven't been too kind to him on the European Tour at times, but on the other hand that doesn't excuse such a heavy loss in the International Championships to Yu DeLu and so many losses from winning positions. In Bulgaria he was 3-2 ahead against Allen and lost, in Australia he was 4-2 ahead to Fergal O'Brien and lost and he did the same against Fergal from 3-1 ahead in Mulheim. At the Paul Hunter Classic he was a victim to a John Higgins comeback from 3-1 down. This should be hugely worrying to Bingham as it shows a distinctly bad quality of failing to close out matches when you have plenty of chance to do so. I don't see him winning this tournament on current form and he is not a strong contender to do so. With Zhou Yuelong in round one over the best-of-7 frames he will need to be switched on because the young Chinese player has plenty of potential as I've mentioned and he won't fear Stuart and i expect a close match if Zhou plays himself into it early on.

Judd Trump is the man that has qualified for the Champion of Champions by winning the other event broadcast on ITV4 which is the World Grand Prix in March. He also reached the final of the Champion of Champions last year and most recently the Shanghai Masters where he lost to his first round opponent on Tuesday, Kyren Wilson. Trump looked back to form at the Bulgarian Open this weekend where he lost to Sam Baird in the quarter-finals. This of course came after a month away from snooker, failing to qualify for the International Championships in Daqing, losing his Last 128 match 6-0 Michael Wild and shortly after that he lost in the first round of the Ruhr Open 4-3 to Hammad Miah. However, he loves the events like the Champion of Champions, being able to play in front of a big crowd. With Ronnie O'Sullivan absent, Judd is not only the favourite for the title this week but he is also probably the person that will get the most attention as long as he is in the event. I don't see Trump's group draw as the hardest possible one to get through and he will expect to get through to at least the semi-finals on Saturday.

Group Prediction: Trump to beat Wilson 4-2, Bingham to win 4-3 before Trump wins the Group final 6-2.  

Group Two (Friday 13th November)

Draw:

Mark Selby Vs Stephen Maguire
Barry Hawkins Vs Mark Allen

If you think back far enough, you'll be able to remember the last time you saw Stephen Maguire in action. That would of course be at the Ruhr Open a full month ago, where he was knocked out in the Last 32. That result is part of a poor trend that Maguire has suffered this year. He was beaten in the International Championship Last 128 round comfortably by Noppon Saengkham following another comfortable loss 5-1 to Michael Holt in the Shanghai Masters. In the three European Tour events he has played this season he hasn't managed to get past the Last 32 stages. This is kind of ironic given that his reason for being in Coventry is a European Tour win at the Lisbon Open in December. With his lack of form and his first round opponent Mark Selby in pretty good form of late, Stephen is probably going to have his work cut out for him once again on Friday afternoon.

Mark Allen was a last ditch entry into the Champion of Champions after winning the final qualifying event which was this weekends Bulgarian Open. With that in mind he's obviously in good form coming into the event and is one of the main men to watch but he has an equally tough first round opponent in Barry Hawkins. Barry has beaten Mark in all of their last three major meetings and that doesn't bode particularly well for Allen. He has been playing well for a while now and I feel like he is stepping ever closer towards winning a really major title, so with the UK Championship to come after this now is a great time to find form for him and he has already appeared in Last 16's at two of the other three European Tour events as well as the International Championship quarter-finals and the semi-finals of the Shanghai Masters. It's going to be a very tough match on Friday against Barry and it could go all the way to a final frame.

Barry Hawkins makes it into the Champion of Champions courtesy of his victory in the seasons first European Tour event in Riga where he beat Tom Ford in the final as well as Michael White and Graeme Dott on the way. However, since that victory fortunes have been a little bit mixed for Barry. In the other two European Tour events (missing the weekends Bulgarian Open in the lead up to this) he had a Last 64 at the Paul Hunter Classic, but did make the quarter-final in Mulheim before losing to David Gilbert. However, his performances in the bigger events have been slightly more worrying with Last 32 exits in the Shanghai Masters and International Championship. I expect Hawkins to play bright snooker, but equally I do not see him making up part of the semi-final line-up on Saturday.

Mark Selby is in good form coming into this event, making it in through his German Masters victory in February and China Open win in April, but he's starting to come back into a little bit of form very recently too. At the International Championship he made it all the way to the semi-finals before losing to the rampant John Higgins where there was very little he could do. In the Ruhr Open he lost out in a tight deciding frame in the Last 16 and he could easily have gone on to win the event that week. Just this weekend at the Bulgarian Open he made the quarter-finals, but again there was little he could do to stop Ryan Day who was on top break building form there. Mark's Coventry record isn't too bad with one quarter-final and one semi-final and living so close to the venue he will enjoy the ability to play a tournament from home and not spend all of his time away from the family and the comforts of his own bed which may make a positive difference to his snooker.

Group Prediction: Selby to see off Maguire 4-2, Hawkins to beat Allen 4-3 and Selby to win the Group Final 6-3.

Predicted Tournament Runner-Up: Shaun Murphy

Predicted Tournament Winner: Judd Trump


With a very good mix in the line-up and one that for the first time actually consists of 16 guys that have won an event in the last year (believe it or not) it's going to be an enthralling six days of snooker at the Ricoh Arena as the season continues to hot up in this, the last event before the UK Championships in York starting on Tuesday 24th November, with the BBC's 9 day TV coverage beginning on Saturday 28th November. That means a big period of snooker in the British Isles and covered on Terrestrial Television is all set to begin from this week onwards and all of it will be covered in full on this blog so keep on the look out.

STAT ATTACK: Champion of Champions

With a short time to go until the start of this years Champion of Champions event in Coventry after a weekend of action in Bulgaria, there's a little bit of time to have a look at some of the important statistics and fun facts on the 16 players competing and looking back and the two previous MODERN editions of this competition. (I'm obviously not taking the 1980 and 1978 editions into account as incidentally none of the players that featured in those will be playing this week)

Here are some things to ponder and enjoy ahead of the start on Tuesday:


First of all, Shaun Murphy has played in both of the first two editions of the event, but only managed to win three frames so far. In 2013 he lost 4-2 in the opening round to Mark Selby, while last year he lost 4-1 in a very poor match against Marco Fu. Shaun will certainly be hoping to break his Coventry curse on Thursday afternoon

John Higgins is yet another player never to have won in the Champion of Champions after playing in both of the first two. He lost 4-3 to Stephen Maguire in 2013 and Barry Hawkins overcame him in the Last 16 in 2014 4-1.

Mark Allen's recent win in the Bulgarian Open may have gotten him into the Champion of Champions, but he is another who is yet to get off the mark in this event losing 4-3 to Ali Carter in 2013 and in 2014 he was soundly beaten 4-0 by Ricky Walden. Barry Hawkins is his first round opponent this week.

Ronnie O'Sullivan won both of the first two runnings of this competition meaning that, after he turned down his place this year, we will have a different name on the trophy. Slightly more interestingly it means Stuart Bingham will be beaten by someone other than Ronnie, after losing to the Rocket in the 2013 final, and again in the first round in 2014 if indeed he doesn't win the event.

6 - This is the number of debutants in this years Champion of Champions. They are Shanghai Masters champion Kyren Wilson, World Cup winners Zhou Yuelong and Yan Bingtao, Joe Perry, Michael White and Ruhr Open champion Rory McLeod. The other 10 players in the competition will have featured in the draw for all 3 years.

Ali Carter has lost to Neil Robertson in both of the two editions of this competition in another case of serial meetings in the 2013 quarter's 6-5 and 4-0 in the 2014 Last 16. However, the pair will only meet this year if they both get to Sunday's final such is their separation in the draw.

Luckily for Barry Hawkins, Ding Junhui has failed to qualify for this years Champion of Champions after his Asian Tour victory last month wasn't enough to make it through. This will relieve Hawkins who would've played Ding Junhui if it wasn't for Mark Allen's win at the Bulgarian Open, having lost to Ding in both of the 2013 and 2014 Champion of Champions events.

If you think that Neil Robertson's group on Thursday is tough, playing Rory McLeod in round one and possibly Murphy or Bingtao if he gets through, it is worth noting that he is the only other player after O'Sullivan to make at least the semi-finals in both years.

To give you an idea of how many centuries to expect in Coventry, both the 2013 and 2014 editions yielded a similar number, with 21 in 2013 and 20 in 2014. So around the 20 number you'd guess is where the 2015 tally will weigh in also.

The matches in the Champion of Champions have usually been close as you'd expect between the tournament winners of the last couple of years. Both finals have been won with no more than three frames in the scores. Meanwhile the 4 best-of-11 semi-finals to have been played finished with 1 decider 6-5, and three 6-4 score lines.

Neil Robertson and Rory McLeod have three previous meetings, and Robertson has won all of those three meetings in a best-of-17, a best-of-9 and a best-of-7 by only losing two frames combined.

Excluding the 6 Reds World Championship and Championship League, the last three meetings between Mark Selby and Stephen Maguire have seen three wins for Selby in the 2015 German Masters semi-finals, the 2013 Champion of Champions quarter-final and the quarter-finals of the 2012 Welsh Open.

Excluding minor events, Barry Hawkins has won his last three meetings with Mark Allen, 4-1 just a month ago at the Ruhr Open, 13-11 in the World Championships this year, and the other 5-1 in the 2013 German Masters. On all of these occasions the meetings occurred at the Last 16 stage of the given tournament, which of course is the round in which they meet this week as well.


As I say with both little time to prepare I hope I've picked out some interesting stats and facts there and of course there hasn't been a large amount of history to this 16 man event with only two previous editions. Again, this should be a nice accompaniment to my main Champion of Champions Preview so I hope you all enjoy.

Fantasy Snooker: Champion of Champions

Once again the turnaround from the Bulgarian Open is a short one which means this blog has come out immediately following it's conclusion ahead of the Champion of Champions event in Coventry where the deadline for picks is ahead of the first match on Tuesday at 1pm.

This is how the table sets up after the Bulgarian Open over the weekend:

1st: Kjetil: 261 -1.6 million Day (45) and Milkins (12)
2nd: Anthony Ward: 257 +0.3 million Allen (61) and J.Robertson (21)
3rd: Spanish Snooker Blog: 244 -1 million Trump (30) and Yuelong (14)

4th: SnookerFollower: 241 +2.8 million Murphy (34) and Ford (12)

5th: Igor: 234 +0.1 million Murphy (34) and McLeod (0)

6th: Gary: 226 +2.7 million McGill (7) and Walker (7)

7th: Gorken Kurt: 225 -0.7 million Murphy (34) and Yuelong (14)

8th: LTD: 183 +5.1 million Trump (30) and Holt (17)
9th: Phil Mudd: 174 +1.3 million K.Wilson (12) and Perry (22)

10th: Josh Cooper: 173 +2.4 million Selby (24) and Murphy (34)

11th: Chris Watts: 157 +1.2 million Murphy (34) and Maflin (5)

12th: Kellie Barker: 143 +0.9 million Holt (17) and Day (45)

13th: John McBride: 141 +10.6 million Murphy (34)

14th: Kai: 124 +2.8 million G.Wilson (14) and K.Wilson (12)

15th: Andrew Brooker: 112 +20.7 million Murphy (34)

16th: TungstenDarts: 108 +7.8 million Selt (5) and Guodong (11)

16th: Michael Coudray: 108 +8.9 million Murphy (34)

18th: Ezgi Ulutas: 102 +8.7 million Trump (30) and Selt (5)

19th: Guillermo: 79  -3.1 million Selt (5) and K.Wilson (12)



All change at the top once again this season as we move on to the Champion of Champions where it is the same as always 8 million given plus any leftover money for two picks:

Mark Selby – 6 million
Stuart Bingham– 5.8 million
Neil Robertson – 5.6 million
Shaun Murphy – 5.5 million
Judd Trump – 5.4 million
John Higgins – 5.3 million
Barry Hawkins– 5.2 million
Joe Perry – 5 million
Mark Allen – 4.9 million
Michael White – 4.8 million
Stephen Maguire – 4.6 million
Kyren Wilson– 4.5 million
Ali Carter– 4.3 million
Rory McLeod – 4.2 million
Zhou Yuelong– 4.1 million
Yan Bingtao – 4 million


Once again, all the best of luck and enjoy your picking for this weeks event in the Fantasy Snooker League.

Wednesday, 4 November 2015

Bulgarian Open Preview

Another week and another event on the World Snooker calendar as snooker keeps on coming thick and fast as we head into the meat of the Autumn in the UK, but this week the tour is on it's way to Bulgaria to the fourth event on the European Tour, the Bulgarian Open. Shaun Murphy is the defending champion having won in Sofia last October on the way to back to back European Tour titles, beating Martin Gould in the final.

This week Murphy and Gould are both back amongst the field of players hungry for a good weekend in the event that, as always, runs from Friday to Sunday for the professionals and will be shown on Eurosport. One of my highlights of this event from last year was a little bit of off table fun I had, by accidentally phoning the eventual champion Murphy from my pocket between his Last 128 and Last 64 matches, and after picking up he clearly didn't realise it was an accident or was clearly having fun listening to my day, by keeping me on the line for a full 7 minutes before I eventually realised and hung up myself and later texting to apologise.

Back to the event and it's always one that is well held in Bulgaria as they always are on the European Tour and the top seed for this week on the European Order of Merit is... Rory McLeod. Something I never expected to see. This comes after non-entries from the other tour event winners Barry Hawkins and Ali Carter of this season so far, while guys like Ronnie O'Sullivan and Ding Junhui continue to skip the European Tour, while Neil Robertson, Stephen Maguire and Marco Fu are also amongst the non-entries. Meanwhile, Judd Trump is present after not qualifying for the International Championship and losing in round one of the Ruhr Open on top of that so he has a point to prove this week.

Plenty to play for as always then as we enter the final three events on the European Tour and the race for places in the Players Championship finals heats up. This is how the draw looks for this week:

Quarter 1:

Last 128 Draw: (Picks in Bold)

Rory McLeod Vs Sam Baird
Zhang Anda Vs Amateur Qualifier
Chris Wakelin Vs Chris Melling
Ian Burns Vs Paul Davison
Jimmy Robertson Vs Allan Taylor
Michael Leslie Vs Amateur Qualifier
Rod Lawler Vs Liam Highfield
Matt Selt Vs Hamza Akbar
Judd Trump Vs Amateur Qualifier
Gerard Greene Vs Gareth Allen
Rhys Clark Vs Amateur Qualifier
Andrew Higginson Vs Craig Steadman
Peter Ebdon Vs Amateur Qualifier
Fergal O'Brien Vs Michael Georgiou
Anthony McGill Vs Barry Pinches
Mark King Vs Amateur Qualifier

Of the top 16 the top quarter of the draw only features Judd Trump but of the rest, Mark King has gone well in the European Tour events this season while Rory McLeod was the winner of ET3. Matt Selt is also a big threat on these weekends, and Jimmy Robertson is also a player that is improving rapidly with the help of the smaller tour events so they are certainly men to watch out for.

Jimmy Robertson has been going along quite nicely this year. He featured in the semi-finals of the recent Asian Tour event and in spring's Gdynia Open. The International Championship saw him reach a full ranking event Last 16 for the first time beating Barry Hawkins on the way to that and I've been impressed with how Jimmy is going over the last season or so. I have earmarked Jimmy as one to watch in terms of the next player who could breakthrough the pack and become a surprise winner or finalist. With the absence of loads of top players in this section someone like Jimmy doesn't have the most difficult looking draw to progress on and he could quite easily reach Sunday's Last 16 and even the quarter-finals and from their who knows what could happen.

Matt Selt is another player who has a good record in these European tour events. Over the last season or so he has reached a final, which was in Lisbon last December, and already this season he has reached a quarter-final which was in Riga and he continues to progress. His recent trip to China could've gone better though. He failed to win a match in the main stages of either the Asian Tour or International Championship and perhaps after a large period of improving and being in very good form, he is going to go through a small intermission of some poorer results, which every player has and needs in a sense if they are to continue improving. If he is to go on this week and get a decent run going he'll certainly need to improve on recent fortunes.

Judd Trump is the main man in this section to feature. He is the only player inside the top 16 present in quarter 1 and after quite a break since his most recent action and the dreadful results he had in that period, he should be back fresh and raring to put all of that right. The results I alluded to there were his first round exit in Mulheim to amateur Hammad Miah, while in the International Championship Qualifying (Last 128 round) he lost 6-0 to the much lower ranked Michael Wild. Although, after reaching the final of the Shanghai Masters in September that is all surely  just a blip for Judd who has both the tools and a section that (with no offence to any of the guys making up the draw) he could breeze through comfortably if he plays well. In fact if he does come back rejuvenated from the break after those poor results, then I think we will see Judd feature in Sunday evenings final.

Quarter Winner: Judd Trump

Quarter 2

Last 128 Draw: (Picks in Bold)

Alan McManus Vs Amateur Qualifier
Jack Lisowski Vs Amateur Qualifier
Mitchell Mann Vs Tony Drago
Dominic Dale Vs Amateur Qualifier
Mark Selby Vs Sydney Wilson
Alfie Burden Vs Anthony Hamilton
Jamie Cope Vs Eden Sharav
Luca Brecel Vs Lu Ning
Ryan Day Vs Amateur Qualifier
Joel Walker Vs Hatem Yassin
Kurt Maflin Vs Steven Hallworth
Kyren Wilson Vs Amateur Qualifier
Scott Donaldson Vs Mark Joyce
Martin O'Donnell Vs Amateur Qualifier
James Cahill Vs Zak Surety
Tom Ford Vs Michael Wasley

Again the remainder of the top half of this weekends draw looks pretty bare as far as top players go, only Mark Selby featuring from the top 16. Kyren Wilson is obviously dangerous after his Shanghai win in September, while Tom Ford made the final in Riga. The likes of Ryan Day and Alan McManus can also do damage over these weekend events so watch out for them in this section additionally.

Kyren Wilson is one of the players who has risen through the pack in the last few months after his win at the Shanghai Masters and with this he now has to deal with all of the expectation for him to continue moving forward. It would not surprise me to see Wilson struggle a little bit as he comes to terms with the huge recent developments in his career, and that will naturally effect the results he is able to produce in the next few months as he deals with this. His draw isn't necessarily the easiest this week but there is still a good chance of progression with no top 16 ranked player standing between him and a possible quarter-final place, so if he can relax and play the snooker he showed in Shanghai then he has a great chance of being in contention on Sunday.

Mark Selby is naturally the player that your eyes are drawn to in this section as the world number one, but also the only one of the world's elite to feature in this entire quarter so you would expect him to go well. He has showed some decent form recently ahead of a big and busy period between now and Christmas, starting with a decent showing in Mulheim which was so close to being so much better, while in Daqing he was a semi-finalist beating Neil Robertson and Michael White along the way and he should be very happy with what he exhibited there. This week for Mark may be seen as a bit of a warm up for the Champion of Champions and UK Championship, but he is still there to win and he is a massive contender to do so.

Ryan Day is a player I expect to go well this weekend in Sofia. He beat Ding Junhui on the way to the Last 16 of the International Championship but I think he left something behind there and could've gone on so much further. At the Shanghai Masters he also reached the Last 16 so he is certainly going along pretty well this season so far, and the quarter-final run in Riga is further evidence to that effect. We all know that the Welshman has the talent to work his way through the draw and again it could be a much harder route to travel for him from round one to the quarter-finals and if he is on form I expect him to get at least that far, and the potential to go on further will then be there. I always feel that if you can get to the Sunday of a European Tour event it's a different game and the cream quickly rises up. The Ruhr Open showed that anything can happen and that looking outside of the main few guys to pick someone to go on isn't a bad idea and perhaps Ryan is that man.

Quarter Winner: Ryan Day

Quarter 3

Last 128 Draw: (Picks in Bold)

Tian Pengfei Vs Amateur Qualifier
Sanderson Lam Vs Nigel Bond
Stuart Bingham Vs Amateur Qualifier
Mark Allen Vs Ross Muir
Sean O'Sullivan Vs Joe Swail
Joe Perry Vs Amateur Qualifier
Martin Gould Vs Amateur Qualifier
Michael Holt Vs Amateur Qualifier
Mike Dunn Vs Amateur Qualifier
Aditya Mehta Vs Amateur Qualifier
Robert Milkins Vs Amateur Qualifier
Liang Wenbo Vs Thepchaiya Un-Nooh
Thor Chuan Leong Vs Amateur Qualifier
Gary Wilson Vs David Grace
Daniel Wells Vs Ian Glover
Ben Woollaston Vs Xiao Guodong

Quarter No.3 features plenty of big guns. World champion Stuart Bingham features in this section along with fellow top 16 players Mark Allen and Joe Perry. There are also a number of players in the top 32 looking to progress like Michael Holt, Martin Gould, Robert Milkins, Liang Wenbo and Ben Woollaston, each of whom have shown the dangers they represent over these 3 day sprints. Tian Pengfei was the runner-up at the Ruhr Open so he's another player in form, as is Thepchaiya Un-Nooh who is yet to feature on the Euro Tour but did reach the recent International semi-finals.

Stuart Bingham has showed very little since becoming world champion in May. An early exit has haunted him in every tournament except for the Shanghai Masters where he reached the semi-finals. The only explanation is that he hasn't come to terms with being world champion and all of the attention and expectation that comes with that and until he goes on and wins an event or gets to the Crucible in April things probably won't become any easier. He's been particularly bad on the European Tour with two Last 128 exits, meaning he could face Mark Allen in the Last 64 this week and that is far from easy. With the Champion of Champions and UK Championships on their way, this would be the perfect time for Stuart to make a move in the right direction because we all know what he can do, but amongst the new pressures he is under it certainly isn't easy.

Ben Woollaston is usually a man to watch in these European Tour weekends. Once again this season he has gone along relatively well reaching the Last 16 of the International Championship last week and the quarter-finals of the Riga Open. After his run to the Welsh Open final he did struggle a little bit as that was a major breakthrough for him, but he now looks to be back playing like himself again. His first round match with Xiao Guodong will not be an easy one, but I still fancy him to get through and if he can he doesn't have a tougher opponent standing between him and a spot in Sunday's Last 16 where as I say, anything can happen.

Joe Perry looked to have found some form for the first time this season, at the International Championship in Daqing. He reached the quarter-finals before running into a steam train that was John Higgins, and with an easier draw he may have gone on much further. Joe should certainly get through the first couple of rounds this week playing like that again, but trouble may lie in the Last 32 against Gould or Holt before he can have any thoughts of Sunday's Last 16. Joe is due a good run on the European Tour if he is to get through to defend his Players Championship title won in March and perhaps this weekend could be the one.

Mark Allen also looks to be warming up for big things in recent times. A semi-final at the Shanghai Masters along with quarter-finals at the International Championship. Match that with Last 16 appearances in two of the three ET events so far and you cannot say he's playing badly at all. A possible Last 64 meeting with Bingham is one he would be sight favourite for on current form and that is certainly the main stumbling block between him and Sunday's Last 16. If he makes it as far as Sunday then as always it is a new ball game, but Allen has been there and done it so many times on the European Tour that he should always be viewed as a huge threat every single time that one of these events comes around.

Quarter Winner: Mark Allen

Quarter 4

Last 128 Draw: (Picks in Bold)

Mark Williams Vs Amateur Qualifier
Jamie Jones Vs Noppon Saengkham
Ken Doherty W/O Jimmy White
Oli Lines Vs Amateur Qualifier
Lee Walker Vs Amateur Qualifier
Lu Chenwei Vs Zhou Yuelong
John Higgins Vs Amateur Qualifier
David Gilbert W/O Jamie Burnett
Stuart Carrington Vs Amateur Qualifier
Dechawat Poomjaeng Vs Amateur Qualifier
Ricky Walden Vs Fraser Patrick
Michael White Vs Amateur Qualifier
Robbie Williams Vs Amateur Qualifier
Peter Lines Vs Darryl Hill
Jason Weston Vs Amateur Qualifier
Shaun Murphy Vs Amateur Qualifier

The final section of the draw stars both the winner and runner-up of the recent International Championship, with Higgins and Gilbert who could meet in the Last 64 this weekend. Paul Hunter Classic runner-up Shaun Murphy will be looking for another big weekend, while Mark Williams has been very consistent on the European Tour so far. Ricky Walden and Michael White are two guys in this quarter who will look to get their seasons going and the pair could meet in the Last 64 also.

Ricky Walden's season thus far continues to be a mixed bag. Despite being runner-up in the Asian Tour a couple of weeks ago he's under performed otherwise. That could be put down to the new pressures at home of having his first child with his wife and like Selby last year there may be a small reaction to that in terms of working in new routines with practice to spend more time at home or the general amount of sleep he is getting, which is something mentioned a lot with Selby. As I say his performances have been far from horrendous and I think he'll fancy his chances of making the Last 16 on Sunday, but in a very tough section i'm not sure he can go all the way.

Shaun Murphy as I always seems to say loves going around Europe in these tour events relishing the opportunity to put on a good show and as defending champion he'll want to do that again here. He's already been a runner-up in the Paul Hunter Classic and reaching the Last 16 in the other two tour events has guaranteed his qualification for the Players Championship finals so there is no pressure on that front. Last 16 exits in Daqing and Shanghai suggest there is plenty more to come from Shaun and with the Champion of Champions and UK Championship to come and the signs being that he's cueing well as usual, a big title is not far from his grasp. This weekend on the other hand could be seen as a bit of a warm up in the main, but Murphy is always here to win and he'll be disappointed not to make at least Sunday's Last 16.

John Higgins comes into this event fresh from his International Championship win in Daqing and has been on the road for some time after participating in the Asian Tour event the week before. That certainly hinders his challenge this weekend after a short turnaround of only 5 full days between winning in China to playing his first match in Sofia on Saturday. With all that happening he is perfectly entitled to feel tired and all snookered out, and with the much bigger money Champion of Champions event starting on only Tuesday I must say I thought Higgins would withdraw and get some time at home before heading to Coventry, although as I am writing this on the Wednesday afternoon there is still time for him to do just that. If he does show up and continue his incredible form he is a huge contender but it all depends on how motivated he is for such a minor event sandwiched between two more major ones, and how much he actually has left in the tank following the long trip back.

Mark Williams meanwhile has been there or thereabouts in all of these European Tour events so far this season, despite a couple of the early one's coming very soon after his shoulder operation. One last 16 exit and two quarter-finals means he is going along nicely and should be present at the Players Championship finals at the back end of the season without too much stress. An early exit at the International Championship to Thepchaiya Un-Nooh was unlucky and he also made the quarter-finals of the Shanghai Masters so he has been pretty consistent on that front. For me there's no reason why he shouldn't get to the Sunday for the Last 16 and from there he would have to be classed as a contender for the title once more, and with the carrot of last minute Champion of Champions qualification there if he could snatch the title there is plenty of incentive for Williams to bring the best out of himself this weekend.

Quarter Winner: Mark Williams

Predicted Tournament Runner-Up: Mark Allen

Predicted Tournament Winner: Judd Trump


That's what we have to look forward to this weekend then, and following straight after this is the Champion of Champions event in Coventry starting on Tuesday, which the winner of this event will make his way into if he hasn't already qualified, otherwise Ding Junhui will take the final spot through his recent Asian Tour win. I'll be back with my preview of the Champions event straight after the conclusion in Sofia on Sunday.

Tuesday, 3 November 2015

Fantasy Snooker: Update and Bulgaria Open

Following the International Championship it's a quick turnaround for the guys ahead of this weeks Fourth European Tour event at the Bulgarian Open. There's been a lot of change in the Fantasy Snooker league standings for those that picked International winner John Higgins and semi-finalist Mark Selby. (No-one picked runner-up David Gilbert or other semi-finalist Thepchiaya Un-Nooh).

There aren't many events to go now before the first double points offering of the season at the UK Championship, so here's how the table looks after the events in Daqing, as well as who picked who, what points they got and of course the money each player has leftover or is owing:

1st: Gary: 212 +0.2 million Selby (32) and Williams (7)
2nd: Kjetil: 204 -0.5 million Allen (23) and Ebdon (9)
3rd: Igor: 200 +0.2 million Wilson (5) and Perry (19)
3rd: Spanish Snooker Blog: 200 +-0 million Higgins (66) and Ebdon (9)
5th: SnookerFollower: 195 +3.9 million Higgins (66) and Ding (7)
6th: Gorken Kurt: 177 +0.4 million MJW (7) and Ebdon (9)
7th: Anthony Ward: 175 +0.6 million Gould (0) and MJW (7)
8th: Phil Mudd: 140 +2.7 million Gould (0) and Wilson (5)
9th: LTD: 136 +6.1 million Perry (19)
10th: Chris Watts: 118 +1.8 million Murphy (14) and Yuelong (18)
11th: Josh Cooper: 115 +6 million Murphy (14) and Robertson (27)
12th: John McBride: 107 +8.2 million Murphy (14)
13th: Kai: 98  +2 million Ding (7) and Selt (0)
14th: TungstenDarts: 92 +7.3 million Murphy (14) and Allen (23)
15th: Kellie Barker: 81 +0.9 million Selby (32) and MJW (7)
16th: Andrew Brooker: 78 +18.3 million Carter (0)
17th: Michael Coudray: 74 +6.5 million Murphy (14) and Holt (5)
18th: Ezgi Ulutas: 67 +10.2 million Murphy (14)
19th: Guillermo: 62  -2.9 million Murphy (14)  and Ding (5)


So as you can see it is heating up at the top and it's all change, and could be again after this weekend in Bulgaria if you make the right choices. So here are the players and prices. As usual it is 8 million plus any leftover for 2 players, and of course you can't pick any players playing in the amateur qualifiers: (Prices done based on updated seedings and not European Order of Merit seedings)


Mark Selby– 6 million
Stuart Bingham – 5.8 million
Shaun Murphy – 5.6 million
Judd Trump – 5.5 million
John Higgins – 5.4 million
Mark Allen – 5.3 million
Joe Perry – 5.2 million
Ricky Walden – 5 million
Mark Williams – 4.9 million
Michael White – 4.8 million
Robert Milkins – 4.6 million
Ryan Day – 4.5 million
David Gilbert – 4.3 million
Kyren Wilson – 4.2 million
Alan McManus – 4.1 million
Matt Selt – 4 million

Players ranked 25-32 – 3.5 million
Players ranked 33-48 – 3 million
Players ranked 49-64 – 2.5 million

Players ranked 65- 80 – 2 million

Players ranked 81 or below – 1 million


As you can see from the fact that Number 24 in the world Matt Selt is the 16th highest ranked player in the field, there are a lot of non-entries this week so as always choose wisely and have fun!!!