Thursday, 6 July 2017

World Cup: Group Stage: Final Day Permutations

After four days of jostling for position between the 24 sides making up the four groups of the Snooker World Cup, the final day of group fixtures has arrived, with plenty of teams still in with a chance of qualifying for Saturday's quarter-finals.

There could yet be a few upsets as 2015 runners-up Scotland could exit the competition, while other seeded sides in Australia, Hong Kong and the China A team need good results on the final day to give themselves a chance of qualifying for the knock-out stages.

The teams are ranked based on frames won throughout the group stages, with any ties being settled on the head to head between the two sides in the group.

These are how the groups stands and the permutations for those with a chance of making the top two tomorrow:

Group A: 

Current Standings: 

1) Wales - 17 
2) China B - 12
3) Brazil - 12
4) Malaysia - 8
5) Norway - 6
6) Finland - 5

Permutations:

- Wales are guaranteed to finish top of the group as long as they pick up at least a single frame in their final group game with Brazil. 

- As China B overcame Brazil earlier on in the group stage and therefore have the "head to head" edge, they only need to match Brazil's result in the final game. China B take on Malaysia in the final game, while Brazil play Wales needing to better whatever result the China B team produce. 

- Malaysia could still mathematically make it into second place. However, they would need to beat China B 5-0 in the final game and hope that Brazil lose 5-0 to Wales, making it a very unlikely possibility. 

- Finland and Norway cannot mathematically qualify for the quarter-finals. 

Group B: 

Current Standings: 

1) Belgium - 15 
2) China A - 14
3) Hong Kong - 13
4) Republic of Ireland - 7
5) Germany - 6 
6) Egypt - 5

Permutations: 

- China A play Hong Kong in the final round of group matches which makes that a winner takes all clash. If Hong Kong win 3-2 the two sides will be tied on 16 points but as Hong Kong will have the head to head on China they would go through. 

- Belgium need two frames in their match with the Republic of Ireland to be certain of going into the quarter-finals. One frame would be enough if China A beat Hong Kong 3-2, while a 4-1 win for China A means that Belgium will be in the top two even if they fail to pick a frame up. 

- To top the group Belgium need to match the amount of frames China A gain if they win, or be no more than one behind the amount of frames Hong Kong gain if they beat China.

- The Republic of Ireland, Germany and Egypt cannot qualify. 

Group C: 

Current Standings: 

1) England - 18 
2) Iran - 11
3) Australia - 11
4) Malta - 8
5) Switzerland - 7
6) Pakistan - 5

Permutations: 

- England are certain of their place in the quarter-finals as group winners no matter what happens on the final day. They will play the Group D runners-up in Saturday's quarter-finals. 

- To qualify Iran simply need to match the result that Australia get against England, with Iran playing Malta. A tie between the two sides takes Iran through after Iran overcame Australia 4-1 earlier in the group giving them the head to head. 

- Australia therefore need to better the amount of frames that Iran gain in their match. 

- Malta can still mathematically qualify if they were to beat Iran 5-0 or 4-1. A 5-0 victory would be enough if Australia lose as Malta have the head to head against Australia if the sides finish level, while a 4-1 win would see them through if Australia lose 4-1 or worse. 

- Switzerland and Pakistan cannot mathematically qualify. 

Group D: 

Current Standings: 

1) Northern Ireland - 13
2) Thailand - 13
3) Scotland - 11
4) Israel - 11
5) India - 8 
6) Cyprus - 4 

Permutations: 

- Northern Ireland will be certain of qualification for the knock-out stages with any victory in their final match with Israel. A 3-2 loss would also be enough as long as Scotland do not beat India 5-0, as a tie between the two would see Northern Ireland through on the head to head. 

- Thailand will also be certain of qualification for the knock-out stages with any victory in their final match against Cyprus as any tie with Scotland or Israel will see Thailand through, as they have the edge on the head to head. Two frames won against Cyprus will be enough as long as Scotland do not win 5-0 against India. 

- Scotland will have realistically win 4-1 or 5-0 to have any chance due to their inferior head to heads against Northern Ireland and Thailand, meaning that they cannot afford a tie. 

- Israel will have to beat Northern Ireland by a minimum of 4-1 to have any chance, but would probably have to win 5-0 depending on the results of Scotland and Thailand as a tie with either would not be good enough due to inferior head to heads. 


So, there's still plenty to play for in each of the four groups going into the final set of games. Just a reminder that the winner of Group A plays the runner-up in Group B, the winner of Group B plays the runner-up of Group A etc. in the quarter-finals on Saturday, before the semi-finals and final follow on Sunday. 

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