Thursday, 8 October 2015

Pag's Punts: Ruhr Open Friday and Saturday

Before Andrew Pagett heads off on his holidays this weekend, he's sent across some more of his bets for this weekend's play at the Ruhr Open. These will only be for the known first round games, rather than the games where a professional is playing an amateur qualifier as they won't be priced up until much later in the week.

Starting off with tomorrow's action, this is what Pagett is backing:

 


He's gone with a sixfold accumulator for Friday's play, with World Champion Stuart Bingham to beat Fergal O'Brien (2/7), Chris Wakelin to beat Tony Drago (4/9), Joe Swail to edge out Lee Walker (8/11), Robbie Williams in a tight call over Liam Highfield (5/6) and then Andrew Higginson against Darryl Hill (1/4) and Joel Walker against Jason Weston (2/9). Once again, Pagett has added these selections into odds comparison site Oddschecker and on this ocassion Betfred came out with the best price at the time this was sent over to me, offering odds just shy of 8/1. 

Meanwhile, this is Pagett's selection for the first round matches in the bottom half of the draw that will take place on Saturday:  




Pagett has gone with another sixfold accumulator, this time with slightly shorter odds. His selections are Stephen Maguire to beat Cao Yupeng (2/5), Barry Hawkins against Jimmy White (1/5), Dominic Dale over Thailand's Thanawat Thirapongpaiboon (1/2), new dad Ricky Walden against Gerard Greene (3/10), Alan McManus against Barry Pinches (1/3) in a match that could take it's fair share of time to resolve and finally former Masters and UK champion Matthew Stevens against Sam Baird (4/9). Oddschecker puts Paddy Power as the best priced bookie for this bet, with odds at around 21/4

Once again, as the former Crucible qualifier sent this bet to me on Wednesday afternoon it's very much worth looking around and checking the prices for yourselves in case there have been any changes to what is stated above.

All the very best of luck if you go for any of the bets suggested above, or indeed if you decide to put on your own bets for what should be another fascinating weekend of European Tour action, that you can watch live on Eurosport.

Wednesday, 7 October 2015

Ruhr Open Preview

This weekend sees us reach the halfway point on the snooker calendars European Tour as the players arrive in Mulheim for European Tour event 3: the Ruhr Open. I remember this event last year with a great deal of emotions because of both how the tournament played out and what happened and the sickness bug that I was feeling the effects of within 30 minutes of the final ending and that magical Murphy maximum break. So, Shaun is the defending champion after that resounding victory against Robert Milkins in the final, and those several failed maximum attempts on the Sunday.

As for this week, Ali Carter and Barry Hawkins come into it having won the opening two events, with Carter's being a particularly emotional win in the Paul Hunter Classic, beating this weeks defending champion in that final. Neil Robertson will play in his first European Tour event of the season having missed the first two, but the same cannot be said of Ronnie O'Sullivan and Ding Junhui who yet again are avoiding the European Tour like it's some sort of disease. The only other notable absentees are the two men that played out the Australian Open final this season, Martin Gould and John Higgins, which is a particularly dangerous tactic for both of their hopes of making the Players Championship finals.

Other than that, we should see some great snooker from the games top players that are present, and there are certainly a few guys out there with interesting points to prove after the International Championship qualifying round was played last week in Barnsley. The particular points to pick out were a 6-0 loss for Judd Trump against Michael Wild, and a 6-2 loss for Stephen Maguire against Noppon Saengkham.

The time for talk is over for now, and the time to look at the draw is now, so here it all is:

Quarter 1

Last 128 Draw: (Picks in Bold)

Ali Carter Vs Thepchaiya Un-Nooh
Marco Fu W/O Lu Ning
Stuart Bingham Vs Fergal O'Brien
Mark Davis Vs Amateur Qualifier
Luca Brecel Vs Ian Glover
Joel Walker Vs Jason Weston
Zak Surety Vs Zhang Anda
Liang Wenbo Vs Amateur Qualifier
Ben Woollaston Vs Amateur Qualifier
Chris Wakelin Vs Tony Drago
Lee Walker Vs Joe Swail
Thor Chuan Leong Vs Amateur Qualifier
Rory McLeod Vs Craig Steadman
Jamie Jones Vs Michael Georgiou
Alfie Burden Vs Paul Davison
Mark King W/O Chris Melling

The very top section of this top quarter is packed with top players with Paul Hunter Classic champion Ali Carter, World Champion Stuart Bingham, Marco Fu and Mark Davis all featuring and with Liang Wenbo, Ben Woollaston and Mark King also featuring this could be a closely contested quarter.

Marco Fu has had a less than impressive start to this season, which has mainly been outlined by his picking and choosing of events, along with a first round exit at the Shanghai Masters for the second year running. His form doesn't quite seem to be present at the moment and with a really tough top section that he's in, a place in Sunday's Last 16 would be great going, even though he'd only have to win two games. In fact, a tough second round game makes that walkover bad news for Marco in the sense that he'll come into that match without the same grasp on playing conditions that his opponent will have, and that could so easily be a deciding factor.

Ali Carter's performance to win the Paul Hunter Classic was fantastic and no one in the game would say he doesn't deserve it. It's a great boost to his ranking, after his seeding was unfrozen at the start of the season, and I think he'll be back in the top 16 by the end of this season if he can keep this all going. When you look at Ali's tweets and you see what he's up to away from the table, both with writing his book and generally enjoying his life, he seems to be very happy with things right now and that will have an even more positive effect on his snooker. His section looks tough this week though, with an opening round match with Thepchaiya Un-Nooh who is no pushover, and if he gets through Marco Fu with Stuart Bingham and Mark Davis two of his possible Last 32 opponents. I think if he gets past that mini section of the draw then he could so easily go all the way, but equally that is a big if.

Stuart Bingham is slowly building into his season after winning the World Championships, and you can't really blame him for that at all. It's such a huge achievement for him that it will still be sinking in and it's only natural to have a hangover from that. After showing little in the first few events of the season he started to look more like himself at the Shanghai Masters where he played out a good semi-final against Judd Trump and showed a lot of grit against Martin Gould the round previously. A decent run there might also have settled him down a little bit, and that sort of relaxed attitude could be the key to him freeing up and producing his best this weekend. His week so far has already seen him filming for Question of Sport and he'd love it to end by reminding us all of how he got that invite in the first place.

Quarter Winner: Stuart Bingham

Quarter 2

Last 128 Draw: (Picks in Bold)

Mark Williams Vs Amateur Qualifier
Rod Lawler Vs Amateur Qualifier
Aditya Mehta Vs Amateur Qualifier
Kyren Wilson Vs Xiao Guodong
Robbie Williams Vs Liam Highfield
Mark Selby Vs Michael Wasley
Anthony McGill Vs Amateur Qualifier
Matt Selt Vs Eden Sharav
Judd Trump Vs Amateur Qualifier
Daniel Wells Vs Amateur Qualifier
Mike Dunn Vs Nigel Bond
Sean O'Sullivan Vs Vinnie Calabrese
Jimmy Robertson Vs Mark Joyce
Andrew Higginson Vs Darryl Hill
Robert Milkins Vs Amateur Qualifier
Tom Ford W/O James Wattana

This second section is also overflowing with talented guys who can all do their fair share of damage in this draw. Shanghai Masters runner up Judd Trump is one man that jumps out along with those of Mark's Williams and Selby and Kyren Wilson who beat Judd in that Shanghai final. Robert Milkins, Anthony McGill and Matt Selt can also prove very dangerous if things go their way this weekend.

Matt Selt has been a dangerous man in these European Tour events for about 18 months now and he's toppled the top players on many occasions. Two quarter-final places in the Australian and Riga Open's suggest that there's plenty more to come, and he was so close to beating Judd Trump to reach the same stage in Shanghai. His run last year to the Lisbon Open final, is one that we can expect to see repeated at some stage very soon. His section doesn't look easy with the likes of Anthony McGill and Mark Selby to potentially overcome to make Sunday's Last 16 where the likes of Kyren Wilson and Mark Williams, but equally he won't be fazed by that such is the confidence he's gained in recent months.

Kyren Wilson is another man that would've gained hugely in confidence having grasped his first ever ranking win at the Shanghai Masters. He overcame plenty of top players in doing so showing his talent and determination and at such a young age there'll be plenty more in the tank. You have to wonder if there will be a small hangover from that achievement, but at the same time it would be wrong for us to start expecting him to perform at the same level in every event from now onwards. His win in the International qualifier by a comfortable margin suggests that he's got his head straight back down to business, and he'll be a danger to anyone in his path this weekend too.

Judd Trump has had quite a weird season so far, mainly because of one of the most surprising results in a few years that came last weekend in International Championship qualifying. In his first match since a 10-9 Shanghai Masters final defeat, you'd expect him to have no problems against Michael Wild. However, this wasn't the case and he lost 6-0 which is a stunning score line. People have tried to think of a reason for that loss, but more than likely it was just one of those bad days at the office, that was heightened by the fact that he's such a top player, and Michael is so far down the rankings. In the European Tour events this season he's had a Last 16 and quarter-final exit, so that's not bad by any means. I'm sure that after such a defeat as the one he suffered on Saturday, he'll be back out this week with a real point to prove.

Mark Williams is currently hanging on to his hopes of getting into the Champion of Champions by a thread. News that Ronnie O'Sullivan more than likely won't be showing, would put his Seniors win in the 16th qualifying place, if there are "repeat winners" of the Ruhr Open, Asian PTC event and International Championship all prior to Coventry. Equally, he could come out this weekend and win the title and all of this would be taken care of. So far Williams (like Judd) has had Last 16 and quarter-final exits in the Euro Tour events, and this came quite soon after shoulder surgery so he still wasn't a 100% fitness for snooker. A run to the quarter-finals in Shanghai was also very nice before being halted by Judd, but I have the feeling that MJ isn't too far from getting another title for his collection, and this weekends Ruhr Open could be just the one.

Quarter Winner: Mark Williams

Quarter 3

Last 128 Draw: (Picks in Bold)

Shaun Murphy Vs David Grace
Peter Lines Vs Amateur Qualifier
Ricky Walden Vs Gerard Greene
Ken Doherty Vs Yu DeLu
Jamie Cope Vs Rhys Clark
Li Hang Vs Amateur Qualifier
Tian Pengfei Vs Sydney Wilson
Ian Burns Vs Gary Wilson
Alan McManus Vs Barry Pinches
Matthew Stevens Vs Sam Baird
Stephen Maguire Vs Cao Yupeng
Michael White Vs Gareth Allen
Martin O'Donnell Vs Zhang Yong
Duane Jones Vs Amateur Qualifier
Dominic Dale Vs Thanawat Thirapongpaiboon
Graeme Dott Vs Amateur Qualifier

Defending champion and Paul Hunter Classic runner up Shaun Murphy is the big pull in this draw, joined by the names of Welshmen Matthew Stevens, Dominic Dale and Michael White, Scots Stephen Maguire, Alan McManus and Graeme Dott along with new Father Ricky Walden.

Stephen Maguire is one player that really is struggling for form at present. His run to the Australian open at the time papered over some cracks that are rapidly appearing in his overall game. It's not just being beaten in his first match of the Shanghai Masters and International Championship that will annoy him, it's the nature of those defeats. Winning just 3 frames for the loss of 11 suggests that he wasn't ever really in those matches and folded when he should have tried to hang on and fight. In fact it's this fight that is the ingredient of his game that has been missing at the moment and that highlights the struggle he's going through.

Ricky Walden hasn't had much of a season so far but for a different reason. With his wife due to give birth at some point around the Paul Hunter Classic, you wouldn't blame him for being at all distracted during his 4-3 defeat to Dechawat Poomjaeng. Then when his wife gave birth much later than anticipated, Ricky withdrew from Shanghai, so it'll be interesting to see what the new Father can put together this week. Both of his Riga and Australian open losses featured 140+ breaks so he wasn't playing badly, but obviously his practice time over recent weeks may also have been quite limited. Really this weekend could go either way for Walden, but deep down I don't think he'll have the very highest of expectations out of the guys in the field.

Michael White has also fallen away from his very best game recently. He struggled past Alfie Burden in his International Qualifier, and was soundly beaten by Mark Davis in the Shanghai Masters. He hasn't yet caught fire in either of the seasons ET events and will be looking for a more substantial run this weekend. His section isn't easy with the possibility of having to play Maguire and then McManus and Stevens (who beat Michael in Furth) just to make Sunday's Last 16. If White lightning is going to strike this weekend he'll have to do it the hard way.

Shaun Murphy has had a decent start to the season, making the final of the Paul Hunter Classic, losing out narrowly in a decider and Last 16 exits in both the Shanghai Masters and Riga Open resembled that he was outplayed on the day rather than playing badly. Murphy is up there now as one of the top 2 or 3 players in the world such is the way he's played in the last year or so, and his form in Germany particularly is very good. Murphy loves playing in Germany and a win at this event last year, coupled with runners ups in Furth and at the German Masters is the fruit of that. Murphy is now at the stage of his career where he needs to start cashing in on all of his hard work with titles, big and small, and a win this weekend could really send him on a fantastic run after 3 lost finals since winning the Masters in January. With the way he goes in these European Tour events you wouldn't put it past him.

Quarter Winner: Shaun Murphy

Quarter 4

Last 128 Draw: (Picks in Bold)

Michael Holt Vs Allan Taylor
Mitchel Mann W/O Hossein Vafei Ayouri
James Cahill Vs Neil Robertson
David Gilbert Vs Noppon Saengkham
Oli Lines Vs Steven Hallworth
Peter Ebdon Vs Anthony Hamilton
Kurt Maflin Vs Amateur Qualifier
Ryan Day Vs Amateur Qualifier
Stuart Carrington Vs Amateur Qualifier
Joe Perry Vs David Morris
Jack Lisowski Vs Ross Muir
Mark Allen Vs Amateur Qualifier
Scott Donaldson Vs Lu Chenwei
Dechawat Poomjaeng Vs Michael Leslie
Fraser Patrick Vs Sanderson Lam
Barry Hawkins Vs Jimmy White

The anchor quarter of the Ruhr Open looks just as high in quality as the previous three, featuring practice partners Neil Robertson and Joe Perry, Riga Open champion Barry Hawkins as well as Mark Allen, Michael Holt, Ryan Day and Peter Ebdon. With those names, the winner could easily come out of this section.

Mark Allen feels to me like he's warming up for a big run in an event very soon. In the Riga Open he made the Last 16 and his run to the semi-finals of the Shanghai Masters was good without being too special. Yet, in Bendigo and Furth he lost in the opening rounds and that just about sums up the inconsistency that most of the tour has shown in the beginnings of this new season, simply due to how spaced out the events have been. It's really tough to say who's going to have a good weekend in Mulheim, and who won't go so well because there's very little to judge the situation on and that shows clearest with Mark here. What I have seen with Mark's game over the last season or so is that he seems to tail off the further he goes on in an event. He was poor by his own admission in the Shanghai Masters semi-final and again in the previous years final, but his game is better suited to European Tour events in the sense that it's a shorter sharper burst of snooker. Having won this title two years ago, I wouldn't put it past him repeating that achievement.

Neil Robertson is another player who's not really started his season yet in the sense that he's missed the opening two European Tour events and lost 5-4 in both the Australian Open and Shanghai Masters Last 32 stages. Even in his International Qualifier he struggled against Kuldesh Johal despite winning 6-3. Neil hasn't been at his supreme best since the Masters, although he won in Gdynia and looked good in Sheffield. Perhaps Neil is going through a phase like he did in 2012 when he ended up turning to Stephen Hendry for advice. Without doubt he'll soon rediscover his form, he's too good not to, and he could easily win this weekend.

Barry Hawkins may have won the opening tour event in Riga, but since then he hasn't been playing world beating snooker by any means. A Last 64 exit in the Paul Hunter Classic to Kyren Wilson was unlucky, but in the Shanghai Masters first round loss to Martin Gould he was very poor and that sums up the mixed bag that has been Hawkins last 12 months. This week Hawkins draw doesn't look too horrifying for his chances of putting a few early wins together, but whether he can kick on again is another question. If there's one thing you could say about Barry it's that he's more likely to be a player that will win 1 tournament a season, and 2 or more would be a fantastic year, so to have one so early could provide both good and bad signs for him with regards to peaking too early in the season, but only time will tell.

Joe Perry has been quite quiet so far this season, having not had a horrendous start to the season, but it's been far from horrendous either. Last 64 exits in both of the European Tour events reflects the tough draws he's had more than anything else, losing to eventual finalist Tom Ford in Riga and Judd Trump in Furth. In the Last 32 of the Shanghai Masters he lost to eventual winner Kyren Wilson, so if he can get some good wins under his belt this weekend then we may well see how Joe's really playing. However, a possible Last 32 with Mark Allen and a possible Last 16 with Barry Hawkins again means it won't be a bed of roses if Joe is going to progress deep into this event, but I think he's due a great run, he's well capable of winning this event.

Michael Holt has had a really nice start to his 2015/2016 snooker campaign after getting some decent wins on the board, and so far it's taken some of the form players to beat him. In the Australian Open he lost in the Last 16 to runner-up Martin Gould, before losing in the Last 32 of the Riga to finalist Tom Ford. Then he played fantastic snooker beating Judd Trump on the way to the Paul Hunter Classic semi-finals before losing narrowly to eventual champion Carter. He then qualified for Shanghai and overcame Stephen Maguire comfortably before barely getting a look in in the Last 16 against Kyren Wilson, who again went on to win the event. Holt seems to be in a good place off of the table, and now that he's started working with Terry Griffiths it's certainly not too late for him to start achieving his potential. At the age of 37 he's still 2 years younger than the current world champion, and Bingham was considered a journeyman pro until 3 or 4 years ago. Sometimes you can sense when a player is not too far away from winning a big title, I sensed it with Joe Perry around the time of the Players Championship finals and have done with many others and different times too, and I have the same sense right now for Michael that a big title isn't far away, and if he could win this event, he'll really have the confidence required to quick on a lot further.

Quarter Winner: Michael Holt

Predicted Tournament Runner-Up: Stuart Bingham

Predicted Tournament Winner: Michael Holt

As always this event is televised on Eurosport both in the Uk and across the continent and the tournament will be covered in full you'll all be pleased to know, so no missing the final like the Shanghai Masters coverage offered. Other than that, it's going to be a brilliant weekend of snooker on tour yet again, so sit back relax and enjoy.

STAT ATTACK: Ruhr Open

After a brilliant debut back during the Shanghai Masters, the Stat Attack is back for another Statistical preview, for the European Tour event 3, the Ruhr Open. In the stats preview i'll be looking at the previous two Ruhr Open tournaments that have been staged, stats that focus particularly on the European Tour and any relevant stats from this season so far.


One man that plenty of great European Tour statistics seem to be related to is this weeks Ruhr Open defending Shaun Murphy. This year the Ruhr Open is the third European Tour event on the calendar (rather than last year when it was the fourth), but Shaun also stormed to victory in the third Euro Tour event last year, which was the Bulgarian open in Sofia.

Shaun has also been the most dominant player on the European Tour by far since the Gdynia Open of 2014. Including his win there, in the last 9 ET's Shaun has won 3, been runner-up once, a losing semi-finalist once, as well as suffering one exit in each of the Last 16, Last 32, Last 64 and Last 128 rounds, meaning that during that period the quarter-finals is the only round Murphy hasn't exited at, so it would be quite ironic if that happened this week.

Murphy's comeback in the Paul Hunter Classic semi-finals from 3-0 down to beat Mark King 4-3 was something he'd achieved for a second time in 5 European Tour events, achieving the same at last years Ruhr Open against Judd Trump.

Stepping away from the Shaun Murphy bandwagon for a moment, both times that the Ruhr Open has been staged the winner, completed victory as part of consecutive European Tour event wins, as Mark Allen did so on the way to his consecutive ET victories in 2013. That could signal good things for Ali Carter, or that whoever wins this will repeat things in the fourth European Tour event in November.

Stephen Maguire is one man that has two interesting stats related to him this week, the first of which relates directly to the Ruhr Open. On both occasions that this event has been staged, Stephen has lost in the semi-finals. So, he'll be hoping to go one better over the weekend.

Hopefully from his viewpoint that statistic above will help him break a spell of not beating a professional tour player since the Australian Open quarter-finals. Since then, Maguire achieved two wins in the Riga Open both against amateurs prior to his loss against Alan McManus, he then overcame another amateur qualifier in the Paul Hunter Classic before losing to Jimmy Robertson, and then having qualified automatically at the Shanghai Masters, he lost 5-1 to Michael Holt, prior to his 6-2 loss at last weeks International Championship qualifiers. Cao Yupeng is the man looking to keep Maguire down this week.

Judd Trump also has a good record in Mulheim where in 2013 he lost in the quarter-finals and 2014 in the semi-finals and on both occasions the man that beat Judd went on to win the title. If Judd goes one better this week he'd get to the final, and lose once again to the event winner.

The same is ironically true for Welsh potter Mark Williams. In 2013 he fell 4-2 to eventual champion Allen, before repeating that in 2014 by losing by the same score to Shaun Murphy in the quarter-finals of this event.

Centuries wise, the overall standard at the Ruhr Open has slightly declined from 2013 to 2014 with 47 tons being made in the professional stages of the 2013 event, while a year later 6 less were made in the professional stages at 41. All that's left to do with that statistic is to wonder how this year will rank. Judd Trump is the man that's made the most centuries so far, with 7 more than anyone else having notched up a tally of 13. Kyren Wilson, Luca Brecel and Ali Carter are all in joint second with 6 (along with Martin Gould who hasn't entered this week)

To put that last statistic into perspective, Judd Trump has also won more matches than anyone else this season (including the 6 Reds competition) with 19 wins, while Matt Selt, Kyren Wilson and Michael Holt come shortly after that with 18, 16 and 15 wins this season respectively.

If you're hoping for some of the repeat magic that Shaun Murphy offered up in the final of last years Ruhr Open when he made a maximum 147 break in the final, we are long overdue for a maximum. The last will have been exactly 8 months ago on Saturday (10th October). David Gilbert made that last maximum during seventh group of the 2015 Championship League.

Maximums have the tendency to pop up in these German events (of which there are only three a season). As last season 3 of the 9 maximums were made on German soil (Mehta in the Paul Hunter Classic, Murphy in the Ruhr Open and Trump in the German Masters) while 3 of the 9 also came on the European Tour which comprised only 6 events (Mehta's, Murphy's along with Ben Woollaston's at the Lisbon Open)

Something to keep look out for if Neil Robertson loses at any point this weekend is that on 6 of the last 8 occasions he's done so, he's lost in a deciding frame, which may creep into the Australian's head if he finds himself at 3-3 at any point over the weekend.



That's really all that I've been able to put together in terms of statistics for this event bearing in mind that this is only the third staging of the Ruhr Open. Still, I hope there were plenty of fun statistics there for you all to look over, and again if you have any suggestions with how you want to see the feature go in the future let me know.

QUICK FIRE QUESTIONS with SHAUN MURPHY

In a new blog feature that I thought up along with someone that those of you on Twitter will know as @LTD_Syndicate who has been a brilliant help in coming up with this feature, and that is the Quick Fire Questions. The questions are modelled on something that Sky Sports used to do for their English Domestic Twenty20 Cricket coverage, by asking random and silly questions to give a small insight into the players.

To put it simply, me and LTD thought up 18 interesting quick answer questions to get an insight into the boys on tour and what they like on and off the table, including what they watch, favourite places to eat and some interesting ones about their fellow tour professionals. The first victim (or volunteer as he'd probably prefer to be called) for this interrogation was Masters champion Shaun Murphy. As always Shaun takes things all in his stride, and notches up a couple of quality one liners about some of his mates on tour. So here's what Shaun had to say about everything: (Shaun's contributions in italics)

Starting off easy, best snooker fans to play in front of?

Not as easy as it sounds! Most crowds are great, but the Crucible crowd are up there
 
Favourite place to eat when at home? 
Well we’ve just moved so we don’t know many places to be fair. But it was Wings in Manchester before we left.
Favourite place to eat “on the road”?
I love Wagamamas or TGI Fridays.
What’s your favourite sport aside from Snooker? 
To play would be Golf, but to watch I enjoy Golf, Tennis, Football ( sometimes )
All-time favourite song?
Wow what a toughie. Obviously any of Celine Dion’s work. Goes without saying!
Favourite break you’ve ever made in competition? 
It’ll have to be my 147 in Ruhr last year as I should’ve made 5 on the Sunday and was under pressure in the end!
All-time favourite film? 
The Godfather ( 1 or 2 doesn’t matter )
Most used practice routine? 
Chris and I have developed a few new ones so we use them but of the standard ones, probably line up or T
What one part of yourself are you most desperate to change? 
I’d love to get to the point where losing doesn’t hurt so much. It still upsets me.
Biggest moaner on the Snooker tour? 
Well obviously I’m first but after me its tough to say. Selty likes a scream up.
Are you a betting man and if yes, what is your biggest win? 
As you know, I like a bet on the golf but as you rightly say I can’t pick my nose! (I'm saying nothing) I did once, NEARLY have an 8 time accumulator come through on a Champions League night a few years ago with my mate John but Basel scored in the last minute and did us out of £25,000. Cheers.
If you were in charge of the game of snooker, what would be the first thing you’d change?
I’d immediately bring in a shot clock and minimise toilet breaks for players
Favourite TV show and least favourite TV show? 
Favourite of all time would be The Fast Show, but i’m currently into House of Cards. Least favourite would be any of the Carry on films.
Tour player you’d least like to be sat next to on a plane and why? 
Any of the really nervous flyers. Tony Drago or Tom Ford spring to mind. 
Dream Car? 
I’m lucky that this great sport of ours has been good to me and a few years ago I bought my dream car - an Aston Martin DBS. Having sold that I’m now saving for a DB5 but as they’re £650,000 I’m a long way off! Maybe when I’m 75 I’ll be close.
Best day of your life (so far)? 
Very hard to say as fortunately there have been lots of great days but snooker related, winning the Masters is up there. 
If you could spend the day in the company of any three people that have ever lived who would they be and why? 
I’d love to have met Joe Davis. It would be great to show him how far snooker has come and thank him personally. I’d love to have met Winston Churchill and learn from him the skill of never giving up, and I’d love to meet Neil Armstrong to ask him if we’ve ever REALLY been to the moon?
And finally… who is the tour player least likely to open his wallet? 
Well if it’s for watches and first class seats he’s no problem, but if it’s his round, Selty is tighter than cramp!
 
"Tighter than cramp" may have to become a new catchphrase of mine. I've never heard it before but boy did it make me laugh!!! Matt Selt has also come in for some stick big time there, but as they're mates it's all in good jest and i'd like to thank Shaun again for his brilliant answers.
 
Who do you want to see get bombarded next with the QUICK FIRE QUESTIONS? All suggestions are welcome and i'll see what I can do.

Fantasy Snooker League: Ruhr Open Players and Points Update

After a couple of weeks away since the Shanghai Masters, the fantasy snooker league is back ahead of this weeks Ruhr Open, so it's time to see the situation in terms of points table, money left over for all players, and the pricing of the players for this weeks event.

Updated Points Table

1st: Kjetil 142 points -2.2 million
2nd: Gary 141 +0.5 million
3rd: Anthony Ward 139 +0.3 million
4th: Igor 134 +0.2 million
5th: Phil 123 +0.7 million
6th: Gorkem Kurt 100 +0.1 million
7th: LTD 98 +0.5 million
8th: Spanish Snooker Blog 92 +0.4 million
9th: SnookerFollower 89 +6.1 million
10th: Chris Watts 86 +0.1 million
11th: John McBride 84 +1.2 million
12th: Josh Cooper 74 +0.6 million
13th: Kai 72 +5.9 million
14th: Michael Coudray 55 +4.2 million
15th: Ezgi Ulutas 53 +2 million
16th: Andrew Brooker 50 +10 million
17th: Guillermo 43 -2.5 million
18th: Kellie Barker 35 +0.1 million
19th: Sean 20 +1 million
20th: TungstenDarts 17 +9.9 million


This means that for the Ruhr Open, you have 8 million, along with any leftover money (marked with a + next to your name) with which to pick two players of your choice (No amateur Qualifiers) before the first set of professional stage matches on Friday morning. So here are the player prices, with prices based on world rankings and NOT European Order of Merit seedings.

RUHR OPEN PLAYERS:

Mark Selby – 6 million
Stuart Bingham – 5.8 million
Neil Robertson – 5.6 million
Shaun Murphy – 5.5 million
Judd Trump – 5.4 million
Barry Hawkins – 5.3 million
Joe Perry – 5.2 million
Mark Allen– 5 million
Ricky Walden – 4.9 million
Marco Fu – 4.8 million
Mark Williams– 4.6 million
Stephen Maguire – 4.5 million
Michael White – 4.3 million
Graeme Dott – 4.2 million
Mark Davis – 4.1 million
Robert Milkins – 4 million

Players ranked 17-32 – 3.5 million
Players ranked 33-48 – 3 million
Players ranked 49-64 – 2.5 million
Players ranked 65- 80 – 2 million
Players ranked 81 or below – 1 million


As I say, deadline for players is the first set of games on Friday morning, so get your picks in by then, good luck and have fun!!!

Sunday, 4 October 2015

The Snooker Tour Round Table: Who should get a seat?

The current World Snooker tour comprises of 128 professional players 3 of whom are honorary members (Steve Davis, James Wattana and Stephen Hendry) but the question on everyone's lips this week is, is that the right number? Such debate has been sparked by two blogs that 2015 Masters Champion Shaun Murphy has put on his website, calling for the main tour to be shortened to 64 and to then have a Challenge Tour where the other 64 and any added extras would reside. He goes on to suggest that at the end of each season, those ranked between 49 and 64 would be relegated down to the challenge tour, to be replaced by the highest ranked 16 from the lower tour.

The first question you'd ask Shaun is why does he think this? Well, as he explains on his blog, he believes all new players should have to work their way up through the Challenge Tour. He wants to make history of the days where people get invites on to the main tour based on one performance in an amateur or professional event. If players are good enough he says, they will rise through the ranks and onto the professional circuit, because as Barry Hearn said when he changed tournaments to a flat 128 structure "The cream will rise to the top". It always does. When that idea became a reality it was to give lower ranked players an equal chance of winning events as the top 16. Yet, the recent Shanghai Masters event in China saw Kyren Wilson come through 3 qualifying round matches in Barnsley, a wildcard match at the venue and a further 5 games in the main arena to win the trophy, while for the top 16, only 5 wins would've been required to take the trophy home. So on that score the format doesn't matter, if you're good enough - you're good enough.

What would 64 on the main tour provide? Well I think the way that events like the International Championships is formatted basically makes this one clear. 64 players are being taken to the main venue for this one in Daqing, China. Yet, as there are 128 players on tour, every man has to play a qualifying match...in Barnsley!!! As Shaun says in his blog "that doesn't get the juices flowing" and why would it? You're playing a one off match to qualify for an event that's being held on another continent in 4 weeks time.

Then the question continues to come up as to why they don't simply take 128 to each venue? Several reasons are sighted, mainly from the view of  those in charge of the sport that there are clear contractual issues when getting a venue. Not only that, but when it comes to taking 128 to a venue like the UK Championships at the York Barbican or the Welsh Open in Cardiff, that doesn't work either. For example, the first round of the 2014 UK's was played behind closed doors with BBC's TV coverage not beginning until the beginning of the Last 64 round on the first Saturday. Then, as Shaun refers to on his blog, you get matches being played "out the back away from the lights and the action" with 4 tables being found out in the "Sports hall" outside of the main arena. With 64 players on tour alone, these problems would be a lot fewer in number as well.

After reading Shaun's blog in full (which by the way can be found here: http://www.shaunmurphy.net/news/time-for-a-restructure) I've been in touch with Shaun privately to get him to clarify certain aspects of his idea, and i'm sure he won't mind me sharing this on here. I asked him about how players would get on the Challenge Tour in the first place and how many would be taken on and off at a time, like with the main tour. In response to that he said that in the long term "there would be nothing wrong with having a large pool of players on the Challenge Tour". I then asked what he would do about the current Qualifying School system and he said that more than likely he'd keep that as a qualifying system for the Challenge Tour. He's also very clear about that being purely as a qualifying system for the Challenge Tour and NOT the main tour saying: "In my ideas everyone that wants to get to the main tour has to go via the Challenge. Everyone".

After reading the first of Shaun's two blogs, I actually came up with my own idea about how the tour could be more efficient in terms of numbers, and I've based it much more on the system used on the PGA Golf Tour in America, where they have the main PGA Tour and the Web.Com Tour. Firstly, i'd have 80 men on the main tour. That allows more for players that choose not to enter certain events, without creating too many walkovers. When a full group does enter, you simply have a preliminary round prior to round one to get the numbers from 80 down to 64 for round one. This purely comes from an opinion that 80 is probably the number of players on tour that are good enough either now or in the very near future to make a good enough living. Arguably you can look at the numbers on the money list and say that anyone outside of the top 40 players is struggling to make ends meet, based simply on their prize money earnings. You might say that shortening from 128 to either 64 or 80 is a big drop, but not when you consider the amount of amateurs that have to be invited to events. If you take off the honorary members (Davis, Hendry and Wattana) you have 125 names. Then remove the regular non-entry's (Steve Mifsud, Ju Reti, Rouzi Maimaiti, Liu Chuang, Itaro Santos and Igor Figueredo) and you're already down to 119. After that, there are the players that in my view are simply not good enough, or at least not yet. Anyone that's made less than £15,000 in the last year and a half of play (so looking at the end of season projected seedings) would arguably do better to go out and get a full time job away from sport where they'd earn more money through a stable income. (Such players are: Thor Chuan Leong, Steven Hallworth, Lu Chenwei, Ian Glover, Lu Ning, Michael Leslie, Thanawat Thirapongpaiboon, Lee Walker, Tony Drago, David Grace, Chris Melling, Zak Surety and Barry Pinches)

If you had a Challenge Tour below the main tour players like those mentioned above would probably make the same money I've mentioned here, if the Challenge Tour was given the correct funding as it should be. Winning an event on the Challenge Tour would give lower ranked players a great confidence boost, and a place on the main tour at the end of the season with that money and confidence under their belt. As with Shaun's idea, I would promote and relegate 16 at the end of every season, while you can add 8 to the Challenge Tour every year through a Q School, while after every two years you relegate the bottom 16 players from the Challenge tour and make them re-qualify through Q School and the World and European Amateur events.

Poor old Barry Hearn has really gone through a thorough session of 20 questions lately on Twitter over this and he sights the fact that prize money going up being a sign that 128 tour players on tour being a sign that it's working. That's where I disagree. I believe that's a product of the growth of the game worldwide, giving more sponsors opportunities and tournaments, as the top players like Murphy give their all in events around the globe and do their upmost to promote the game in a positive manner, and that needs to be recognised too.

I asked Barry myself on Twitter about his opinion on the fact that out of 128 about 25% of the tour is either not good enough to "cut it" and by that I mean earn a living of any kind, or those that were regular non-entries (and by that I was referring to the likes of Ju Reti and Rouzi Maimaiti who got tour cards via the Asian Tour, only to continue only entering Asian Tour events.)

His response was:

"It's personnel choice and equal opportunity. It's how great businesses grow"

In my mind, if that's true here's a final few thoughts I want to leave you with. I wish to throw out into the open 2 words, perspective and versatility. To address the first of those, I believe whichever way you look at this argument depends on your perspective. As the man running the sport (whom I hugely respect for the job he has and continues to do) you know that you have a good business model which makes money and sense. As a fan like myself you think that 128 players is not best because of the old saying of "quality not quantity" idealising that having 64 or 80 players on a tour that you could take all of to a venue and see a lot less one sided fixtures with that, and many more competitive games. As a higher ranked player you want to be able to avoid playing first round matches a month before the competition fully starts in a totally different location in different playing conditions. You also want to be able to play in front of the big crowds and TV audiences that your talent and hard work has deserved. Meanwhile, lower ranked players outside of the top 64 don't want to lose their main tour playing privileges, but it must also be tough to progress when you're struggling to make money on the tour, and you know that if you can't break into the top 64 inside two years, you'll be sent back to the drawing board anyway.

The second word, versatility, is a massively important thing to have with any business. Being able to adapt to every situation that you come across and pleasing as many people as possible is not an easy thing to do and you have to work out the best way of doing that. TV companies, fans and sponsors all want to see the best players guaranteed at venues in every event. Meanwhile, the governing body has to juggle the demands of all of these people and keep in mind the best interests of the players also. At the end of the day, you want to keep your best players happy and motivated to give their all. As a number of tour players, whether a rigid 128 main tour offers you that versatility is up for debate, while you could give more players a taste of professional snooker life by having a main tour of anywhere between 64 and 80 and have a Challenge Tour that can continuously grow off of that, with as many players as you want to invite from around the world to help promote the best talent on to that main tour when they're ready to really breakthrough and take the world by storm, having proven themselves on a Challenge Tour.

The only other thing that is left for me to say is that, while the possibilities for change may be endless, it is not for me to decide that, I merely want to give my view on how I see these possibilities. At the same time I intend no disrespect to any members of the playing tour, or to Barry Hearn and Jason Ferguson and all of the other people at World Snooker who have worked so hard in recent years to reignite the game.

Friday, 2 October 2015

International Championship Qualifying Final Day: Pag's Punts

The final day of International qualifying brings with it a final offering of Andrew Pagett's recommended bets. To summarise the last 24 hours of play, last night we saw wins for Day, Guodong and Gilbert while Shaun Murphy did his business on Lu (Chenwei)... and you thought I was going to leave that little pun out. Today it was easy for McGill, Brecel, Holt, Joyce, while Craig Steadman beat Li Hang 6-2 and Daniel Wells surprised me a little by beating Rory McLeod so easily 6-1. This afternoons matches are proving slightly slower, with Jamie Burnett and James Cahill really dragging out their opening four frames.

So then, this is what Andrew thinks is a worthy look in for tomorrow...


Here Andrew has done another 5 fold including some very close calls. Joel Walker to beat Robbie Williams is his first selection and that is a match I've thought about more than most as I think they're pretty evenly matched. Aditya Mehta still seems a little bit short given his form this year to beat Ian Glover, while Zhao Xintong will again be a dangerous customer i'm sure, and Pag agrees going for him to beat Stuart Carrington. Jamie Jones is a brilliant price to beat Thanawat Thirapongpaiboon, and i'd say the same about Mike Dunn to beat Mitchell Mann. Those prices shown there may also have changed since Andrew sent this to me on Wednesday afternoon, so again check around as Boylesports may not still be the best priced on this.

Other than that, that will be all from me until next weeks Ruhr Open in terms of tournament blogging, while an interesting debate over the last few days may see an interesting opinion piece arrive on the blog in the next couple of days.