Saturday 10 December 2016

Stat Attack: Scottish Open

Another tournament is upon and that means we are due another statistical preview.  This week we have an event in the Scottish Open that has been brought into the calendar as part of the home nations series, meaning there are no relevant tournament statistics to bring, but there are plenty of head to heads in the weeks 128 man strong field and my usual statistics. This week we have the average frame aggregates, average frames per 50+ break, average break when 50 or above, close frames win percentage and most ranking event quarter-finals since the start of the 2014/2015 season began. All of these statistics will be updated to the end of the UK Championships, and not include the German Masters qualifiers (as this was an incomplete tournament).

HEAD TO HEAD: 

- Going into their Last 128 match, Mitchell Mann and Sam Baird have only met once but that meeting was at the UK Championships a couple of weeks ago, Mann winning 6-2.

- In five previous meetings Alfie Burden has beaten Zhang Anda on four occasions. However, the Chinese player did win the most recent meeting 5-0 at last years German Masters which gives him hope of success in the Last 128 here.

- When Matthew Stevens and Ken Doherty meet in the Last 128 it will be only the second time they have met in an event of any ranking importance since 2010. The first was at the 2015 Welsh Open where Stevens was a deciding frame victor.

- In nine matches against each other, Mark Williams has beaten his Last 128 opponent Rod Lawler on seven occasions including this years Welsh Open.

- The last two times Mark Davis and Rory McLeod have played, the winner has gone on to win the event. Davis was a winner in the semi-finals on the way to his World Seniors Championship victory, while McLeod beat Davis 4-3 in the Ruhr Open quarter-finals on the way to winning the title.

- In five previous meetings, all of which were in best-of-7 frames affairs, Kyren Wilson has beaten Jamie Jones four times.

- Peter Ebdon and Jamie Cope have already met in the Last 128 of an event this year with Ebdon winning 4-0 at the European Masters.

- Alan McManus plays John Higgins in the first round of their home event, and McManus has beaten Higgins in their last three matches. This include their 2016 World Championship quarter-final and a meeting in the first round of the 2014 World Championship.

- Stuart Bingham could face Yu De Lu in the Last 64 of the third event in a row. Yu won 6-4 in the UK Championships, while Bingham was a 5-3 winner at the in the German Masters qualifiers.

- Gary Wilson could meet Neil Robertson in the Last 64 here, after beating him in the Last 16 of the 2015 Welsh Open.

- Marco Fu meanwhile could meet Tom Ford in the Last 64 here after losing to Ford in the Last 64 of the English Open in October.

- Fergal O'Brien could face Stephen Maguire in the Last 64 after their Last 32 meeting in the UK Championships that saw Maguire come from 5-3 down to win 6-5. Maguire has also won every single one of their previous meetings.

- Jack Lisowski could also meet Joe Perry in the Last 64 after beating Perry 4-3 in the Northern Irish Open.


PLAYER PERFORMANCE: KEY INDICATORS

Average Frame Aggregate: 

This week's Top 10:

1) Ronnie O'Sullivan = 20.68
2) Stephen Maguire = 17.86
3) Judd Trump = 17.22
4) John Higgins = 16.01
5) Barry Hawkins = 15.73
6) Neil Robertson = 15.28
7) Shaun Murphy = 14.68
8) David Gilbert = 14.53
9) Anthony McGill = 13.29
10) Stuart Bingham = 12.67

After a number of one sided victories at the beginning of the UK Championships it is no surprise to Ronnie top of this list for this weeks field. Hawkins has risen up thanks to easy victories during the Northern Irish Open, while Shaun Murphy has climbed a little after his run to the UK Championship semi-finals. Otherwise the top ten is filled with tournament winners or players that have had strong runs in the first half of this season.

This week's Bottom 10:

1) Darryl Hill = -38.14
2) Jason Weston = -34.05
3) Christopher Keogan = -32
4) Sydney Wilson = -30.02
5) David John = -27.86
6) Boonyarit Kaettikun = -27.28
7) Kurt Dunham = -26.18
8) Alex Borg = -24.84
9) Paul Davison = -23.42
10) Cao Yupeng = -21.03

At the bottom of the list for average frame aggregates we have the guys who have struggled in the first half of the season. Darryl Hill is yet to win a match this season, and Jason Weston is in that same boat. Success has been rare for the likes of Keogan or Sydney Wilson while Kurt Dunham and Alex Borg improved slightly after wins in the Northern Irish Open recently. Paul Davison picked up a win in the UK Championships to help out his average.

Average frames per 50+ break: 

This week's Top 10:

1) Ronnie O'Sullivan - 2.08
2) Neil Robertson -2.28
3) Shaun Murphy - 2.48
4) Judd Trump - 2.49
5) Mark Allen - 2.63
6) Liang Wenbo - 2.67
7) John Higgins - 2.68
8) Jack Lisowski - 2.71
9) David Gilbert - 2.75
10) Stephen Maguire - 2.77

Ronnie O'Sullivan tops this list as well as his average frames per 50+ break is getting better and better by the tournament, following plenty of heavy scoring in the UK Championships. Shaun Murphy has improved his standing greatly following his run to the UK semi-finals that involved plenty of big breaks. Meanwhile, Anthony McGill has fallen outside of the top ten with Maguire, Gilbert and Lisowski coming into it for this week (with Selby and Ding being absent from this event). Liang's numbers have improved despite an early UK exit.

This week's Bottom 10:*

1) Jason Weston - 20
2) Sydney Wilson - 15
3) Boonyarit Kaettikun - 14.25
4) Christopher Keogan - 14
5) Kurt Dunham - 11.67
6) David John - 11.6
7) Alex Borg - 11.17
8) Elliot Slessor - 9.78
9) Ken Doherty - 9.3
10) Ross Muir - 9

It is not getting any better at the bottom of this list for the likes of Weston and Wilson, nor Boonyarit and Keogan who were thrashed in round one of the UK Championships. Kurt Dunham has also fallen backwards a touch after a heavy first round defeat in the UK Championships which did not give him a chance to score. David John falls back after a whitewash loss to Hawkins in York, while Slessor and Muir have improved their numbers slightly despite not climbing out of the bottom ten. Ken Doherty has fallen into the bottom ten after a 6-0 loss in the first round of the UK Championships.

Darryl Hill is not included having not made a 50+ break prior to the German Masters qualifiers

Average break when 50 or above: 

This week's Top 10:*

1) Jak Jones - 84.5
2) Mark Allen - 81.99
3) Ronnie O'Sullivan - 81.89
4) Stephen Maguire - 81.25
5) Marco Fu - 81.21
6) Liang Wenbo - 81.04
7) Judd Trump - 80.73
8) Stuart Bingham - 80.58
9) David Gilbert - 80.53
10) Li Hang - 80.53

The cream is rising to the top when it comes to the heaviest scorers. Mark Allen has climbed up from outside of the top ten into second place after a 147 break in York and a number of other big centuries in the event. O'Sullivan is also a climber after all of his century breaks in the UK Championships, while guys like Michael White have fallen outside of the top ten and Li Hang is now on the fringes from a higher position earlier in the season.

This week's Bottom 10:*

1) Dechawat Poomjaeng - 58.94
2) Gareth Allen - 61
3) Oliver Lines - 61
4) Zhang Yong - 62.85
5) Nigel Bond - 64.4
6) Paul Davison - 64.47
7) Lee Walker - 64.62
8) Allan Taylor - 64.69
9) Adam Duffy - 65
10) Yu De Lu - 65

Dechawat Poomjaeng's recent poor form is reflected as he has fallen to the bottom of this list. Paul Davison has climbed slightly despite remaining in the bottom ten and as Liam Highfield has climbed out of the bottom ten, Yu De Lu has fallen into it, otherwise the personnel here in the bottom ten is very much the same as it was prior to the UK Championships, but as we have seen with other lists in this blog it can all change in one week for these guys.

* Only those with more than 10 50+ breaks this season are included

Close Frames Win Percentage: 

This week's Top 10:

1) Michael Georgiou - 80.95%
2) Yan Bingtao - 77.27%
3) Ian Preece - 75%
4) Thepchaiya Un-Nooh - 71.43%
5) Dominic Dale - 69.57%
6) Liang Wenbo - 68.97%
7) Marco Fu - 66.67%
8) Alfie Burden - 66.67%
9) Kyren Wilson - 66.67%
10) John Astley - 65%

Ian Preece and Yan Bingtao have dropped a little bit in this list to allow Michael Georgiou up to first place after slight improvements from him, but Yan and Preece do remain very high on the list and well clear of the chasing pack for now. Stephen Maguire and Mark Joyce have dropped outside of the top ten following the UK Championships and that has seen the likes of Dominic Dale who has risen rapidly in this statistic, and Marco Fu has done the same on his way to the UK semi-finals. Liang Wenbo has maintained his position, while Kyren Wilson has dropped slightly but remains in the top ten.

This week's Bottom 10:

1) Fang Xiongman - 16.67%
2) Alex Borg - 18.75%
3) Darryl Hill - 20%
4) Thor Chuan Leong - 20%
5) Robbie Williams - 21.74%
6) Hossein Vafei Ayouri - 25%
7) Jamie Cope - 27.27%
8) Cao Yupeng - 28.57%
9) Yu De Lu - 28.57%
10) Jimmy White - 31.25%

The standard in close frames has improved in this list since the UK Championships. Jimmy White in tenth place has fallen into the bottom ten despite being 3% higher than tenth place was prior to York. Yu De Lu was bottom going into York so he has risen very nicely, while guys like Jamie Cope and Hossein Vafei Ayouri have both dropped into the bottom ten after close frame loses in their first round exits at the UK.

Quarter-Finals or Better (In full ranking events) Since the Start of 2014/2015 season: 

This week's Top 10 (and Ties):

1) Judd Trump - 13
2) John Higgins and Stuart Bingham - 12
4) Neil Robertson, Mark Williams and Shaun Murphy - 10
7) Stephen Maguire and Joe Perry - 9
9) Marco Fu, Ronnie O'Sullivan and Mark Davis - 8

The absence of Mark Selby and Ding Junhui from this weeks field has allowed those with 8 quarter-finals into the top ten. O'Sullivan and Fu both climbed to that number after making the latter stages in York, while Mark Williams and Shaun Murphy are both up to 10 and John Higgins has gone up to 12 after the UK Championships. Judd Trump still leads the way though despite an early exit in the UK Championships.


Those are the stats ahead of this week then, don't forget my Tournament Top Ten blog is already available:
http://cueactionsnookerblog.blogspot.co.uk/2016/12/scottish-open-tournament-top-ten.html

Meanwhile watch out for my full tournament preview which will be up very soon.

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